Overconfidence in Economic Contests
This paper studies an economic contest with two participants, who have overconfidence in their own relative abilities. We examine two different sources of overconfidence, overestimation of one's own ability and underestimation of the rival's ability, and compare the behavioral consequences of each situation with the correctly estimated case. The main result is that the former always induces the participants' aggressive behavior, while the latter does not.
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Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications
99-75, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim;Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim.
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