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From Brussels to Bangkok: how investment funds transmit financial spillovers

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  • Anaya Longaric, Pablo
  • Cera, Katharina
  • Georgiadis, Georgios
  • Kaufmann, Christoph

Abstract

We explore whether investment funds transmit spillovers from local shocks to financial markets in other economies. As a laboratory we consider shocks to financialmarket beliefs about the probability of a rare, euro-related disaster and their spillovers to Asian sovereign debt markets. Given their geographic distance from and relatively limited macroeconomic exposure to the euro area, these markets are an ideal testing ground a priori stacking the deck against finding evidence for investment funds transmitting spillovers from euro disaster risk shocks. Analyzing proprietary security-level holdings data over the period from 2014 to 2023, we find that investment funds strongly shed Asian sovereign debt in response to euro disaster risk shocks. Markets with greater investment-fund presence exhibit considerably larger price spillovers. The main driver of this sell-off is the need to generate liquidity to meet investor redemption demands rather than portfolio rebalancing. Especially market liquidity determines which sovereign debt investment funds shed. Taken together, our findings suggest that due to a flighty investor base investment funds are powerful transmitters of spillovers from local shocks across global financial markets. JEL Classification: F34, F45, G23

Suggested Citation

  • Anaya Longaric, Pablo & Cera, Katharina & Georgiadis, Georgios & Kaufmann, Christoph, 2025. "From Brussels to Bangkok: how investment funds transmit financial spillovers," Working Paper Series 3131, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20253131
    Note: 3597820
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F45 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Macroeconomic Issues of Monetary Unions
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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