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Nonlinear Growth and the Productivity Slowdown

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  • Davide Fiaschi
  • Andrea Mario Lavezzi

Abstract

In this paper we study the productivity slowdown taking as a starting point the nonlinear shape of the growth path. We relate the slowdown to the evolution of the world income distribution in the periods before and after the oil shock of 1973 and show that: i) in both periods growth is nonlinear; ii) the productivity slowdown consists in a downward shift of the nonlinear growth path; iii) in both periods we observe a medium-run tendency to polarization, but the long-run distribution features convergence in the first period and polarization in the second. We provide theoretical and empirical arguments suggesting that the interaction between nonlinear growth and international technology spillovers can explain how a temporary shock may have permanent effects on world growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Davide Fiaschi & Andrea Mario Lavezzi, 2006. "Nonlinear Growth and the Productivity Slowdown," DEGIT Conference Papers c011_012, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
  • Handle: RePEc:deg:conpap:c011_012
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    File URL: http://degit.sam.sdu.dk/papers/degit_11/C011_012.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    14. Davide Fiaschi & Andrea Mario Lavezzi, 2003. "Nonlinear Economic Growth: Some Theory and Cross-Country Evidence," Discussion Papers 2003/14, Dipartimento di Economia e Management (DEM), University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.
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    Cited by:

    1. J. Paul Dunne & Sam Perlo-Freeman & Ron Smith, 2008. "The Demand For Military Expenditure In Developing Countries: Hostility Versus Capability," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, pages 293-302.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General

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