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The Impact of Fear of Automation

Author

Listed:
  • Golin, Marta
  • Rauh, Christopher

Abstract

In this paper, we establish a causal effect of workers' perceived probability of losing one's job due to automation on worker's policy preferences and workplace intentions. In a representative sample of the US workforce, we elicit the perceived fear of losing one's job to robots or artificial intelligence. We document a strong relationship between fear of automation and intentions to join a union, retrain and switch occupations, preferences for higher taxation, higher government handouts, populist attitudes, and voting intentions. We then show a causal effect of providing information about occupation-specific job loss probabilities on preferred levels of taxation and handouts. In contrast, the information treatment does not affect workers' intentions to self-insure by retraining or switching occupations, but it increases workers' self-reported likelihood of joining a union to seek more job protection. The treatment effects are mostly driven by workers who are informed about larger job loss probabilities than they perceived.

Suggested Citation

  • Golin, Marta & Rauh, Christopher, 2023. "The Impact of Fear of Automation," CEPR Discussion Papers 17816, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:17816
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    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Philipp Lergetporer & Katharina Wedel & Katharina Werner, 2023. "Automatability of occupations, workers’ labor-market expectations, and willingness to train," Munich Papers in Political Economy 32, Munich School of Politics and Public Policy and the School of Management at the Technical University of Munich.
    3. Cattaneo, Maria A. & Gschwendt, Christian & Wolter, Stefan C., 2025. "How scary is the risk of automation? Evidence from a large-scale survey experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    4. Maria A. Cattaneo & Christian Gschwendt & Stefan C. Wolter, 2024. "How Scary is the Risk of Automation? Evidence from a Large Survey Experiment," Economics of Education Working Paper Series 0213, University of Zurich, Department of Business Administration (IBW).

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • J68 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Public Policy
    • J58 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Labor-Management Relations, Trade Unions, and Collective Bargaining - - - Public Policy
    • H24 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies

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