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De activos tóxicos a ingreso tóxico

Author

Listed:
  • Fander Falconí

    (Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Sociales, FLACSO-Ecuador)

  • Rafael Burbano

    (Departamento de Matemática, Escuela Politécnica Nacional, Ecuador)

  • Jesus Ramos-Martin

    (Centro de Prospectiva Estrategica, Instituto de Altos Estudios Nacionales)

Abstract

Los científicos del cambio climático han establecido el límite de aumento de temperaturas en 2°C a partir del cual el proceso sería completamente irreversible. Este nivel viene determinado por la concentración de CO2 en la atmósfera. Evitar sobrepasar este umbral implica dejar de utilizar una cantidad ingente de combustibles fósiles que hoy en día las empresas hidrocarburíferas consideran activos; son los llamados activos tóxicos, pues no pueden ser explotados para mantener el clima bajo control. Dada la relación entre PIB y consumo de energía, esta investigación presenta una metodología de cálculo y resultados para encontrar umbrales de ingreso per cápita más allá de los cuales se sobrepasaría el umbral de temperatura, por lo que esos niveles de ingreso podrían ser considerados como “ingreso tóxico”. La investigación encuentra que en el período 2032-2043 se alcanzaría el rango de ingresos de 10,745-14,155 USD per cápita (dólares constantes de 2000) a partir del cual la estabilidad climática estaría en peligro.

Suggested Citation

  • Fander Falconí & Rafael Burbano & Jesus Ramos-Martin, 2015. "De activos tóxicos a ingreso tóxico," Documentos de Trabajo CEPROEC 2015_07, Instituto de Altos Estudios Nacionales, Centro de Prospectiva Estratégica.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpe:cpewps:2015_07
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Anderson, Kevin & Bows, Alice & Mander, Sarah, 2008. "From long-term targets to cumulative emission pathways: Reframing UK climate policy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 3714-3722, October.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cambio climático; CO2; ingreso tóxico;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q57 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Ecological Economics

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