International Portfolio Diversification: The Role of Risk and Return
This paper explores empirically the role of risk and return factors in the observed evolution of net foreign asset positions of a large number of industrial and developing economies. The paper adopts a dynamic approach in which investors’ portfolios adjust gradually to their long-run equilibrium, which is characterized by a standard Tobin-Markowitz framework. This equilibrium condition is estimated using a new data set on foreign assets and liabilities for a large number of industrial and developing countries spanning the period from 1965 to the present. The dynamic panel estimation procedure allows for unrestricted short-run heterogeneity across countries, using the Pooled Mean Group estimator of Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (1999). The empirical results lend considerable support to the model when applied to countries with low capital controls and/or high and upper-middle income. The results for countries with high capital controls and, especially, lower-income countries are less supportive of the stock equilibrium model.
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Trinity Economics Papers
20014, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
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IMF Working Papers
98/154, International Monetary Fund.
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"Current account sustainability,"
Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones)
34294, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
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"The Role of Economic Theory in Modelling the Long Run,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
9612, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
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- Jeffrey D. Sachs, 1981. "The Current Account and macroeconomic Adjustment in the 1970s," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 12(1), pages 201-282.
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dp0044, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
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