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Exporting, Wage Profiles, and Human Capital: Evidence from Brazil

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  • Xiao Ma
  • Marc-Andreas Muendler
  • Alejandro Nakab

Abstract

Export activity shapes workers’ experience-wage profiles. Using employer-employee and customs data for Brazilian manufacturing, we document that workers’ experience-wage profiles are steeper at exporters than at non-exporters and, among exporters, steeper at exporters shipping to high-income destinations. We develop and quantify a model featuring worker-firm wage bargaining, export-market entry by multi-worker firms, and human capital accumulation by workers to interpret the data. Human capital growth can explain one-half of the differences in wage profiles between exporters and non-exporters. We show that increased human capital per worker can account for one-half of the overall gains in real income from trade openness.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiao Ma & Marc-Andreas Muendler & Alejandro Nakab, 2025. "Exporting, Wage Profiles, and Human Capital: Evidence from Brazil," CESifo Working Paper Series 12350, CESifo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12350
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Yang, Yumeng & Li, Yunong & Sheng, Han & Zhou, Mao, 2026. "Producing more, reproducing less: The demographic costs of China's export success," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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