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Impacto de la liberalización comercial de Marruecos y de la inmigración marroquí sobre las exportaciones de las CCAA españolas hacia Marruecos

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En este trabajo hemos analizado los efectos de la progresiva implantación de un acuerdo de libre comercio entre Marruecos y la UE sobre las exportaciones de las CCAA españolas a ese país. También nos interesamos por el efecto de la inmigración marroquí en España sobre dichos intercambios comerciales. Para ello, en primer lugar, hemos estimado mediante una ecuación de gravedad los determinantes de esas exportaciones con datos del periodo 1999-2002 desagregados por CCAA y ramas de actividad. Como principal aportación metodológica, nuestro modelo incluye los aranceles aplicados por Marruecos sobre los bienes procedentes de la UE desagregados por ramas de actividad. Ello no sólo nos permite una mejor estimación si no también realizar, a continuación, simulaciones del desmantelamiento arancelario teniendo en cuenta el distinto ritmo y cuantía en la reducción de los aranceles para cada rama de actividad y año.

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  • José Vicente Blanes Cristóbal & Juliette Milgram Baleix, 2006. "Impacto de la liberalización comercial de Marruecos y de la inmigración marroquí sobre las exportaciones de las CCAA españolas hacia Marruecos," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2006/14, Centro de Estudios Andaluces.
  • Handle: RePEc:cea:doctra:e2006_14
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    Keywords

    International trade; Free trade agreements; Economic integration; Commercial Policy; Migration; Spain; CCAA; Morocco; European Union.;

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration

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