IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cai/ecoldc/ecop_152_0115.html

Potentiels de commerce entre économies hétérogènes : un petit mode d'emploi des modèles de gravité

Author

Listed:
  • Lionel Fontagné
  • Michaël Pajot
  • Jean-Michel Pasteels

Abstract

Two opposite forces determine the intensity of bilateral trade between countries: an attractive force (country size and income) and a repulsive force (distance and other barriers to trade). Building on a now well-established theoretical basis and minimum data requirements, gravity equations ? which combine the above variables ? have become one of the most popular tools for analysing international trade. And calculating trade potential is certainly their most widely used application: a gravity equation is estimated and then used for a simulation. This paper examines the problems associated with this methodology and offers original solutions, focusing particularly on choice of estimation sample. A gravity model estimated for 75 heterogeneous countries trading in 14 sectors covering 261 industries is used to illustrate this approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Lionel Fontagné & Michaël Pajot & Jean-Michel Pasteels, 2002. "Potentiels de commerce entre économies hétérogènes : un petit mode d'emploi des modèles de gravité," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(1), pages 115-139.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:ecoldc:ecop_152_0115
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.cairn.info/load_pdf.php?ID_ARTICLE=ECOP_152_0115
    Download Restriction: free
    File URL: http://www.cairn.info/revue-economie-et-prevision-1-2002-1-page-115.htm
    Download Restriction: free
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bouë & t, Antoine, 2006. "What can the poor expect from trade liberalization? opening the "black box" of trade modeling," MTID discussion papers 93, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. Souleymane Coulibaly & Lionel Fontagné, 2006. "South--South Trade: Geography Matters," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 15(2), pages 313-341, June.
    3. Ahcar, Jaime, 2018. "Colombia’s potential for trade with the European Union and other major global markets," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cai:ecoldc:ecop_152_0115. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Jean-Baptiste de Vathaire (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.cairn.info/revue-economie-et-prevision.htm .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.