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Trucking Industry Adoption of Information Technology: A structural Multivariate Discrete Choice Model

Listed author(s):
  • Golob, Thomas F.
  • Reagan, Amelia C.
Registered author(s):

    Modern panel surveys frequently suffer from high and likely non-ignorable attrition, and transportation surveys suffer from poor travel time estimates. This paper examines new methods for adjusting forecasts and model estimates to account for these problems. The methods we describe are illustrated using a new panel survey of 1500 commuters in San Diego, California. These data are being collected to evaluate a federally-funded “Congestion Pricing†experiment investigating the impacts of allowing solo drivers to pay to use freeway carpool lanes. The panel survey, begun in Fall 1997, collects data on travel behavior and attitudes at six-month intervals through telephone interviews. The panel sample is refreshed with new respondents at each wave to counteract the attrition between waves. Both the original and refreshment samples are stratified on commuters’ mode choice (solo drive in free lanes, pay to solo drive in the carpool lanes, or carpool for free in carpool lanes) to insure sufficient sample size for estimating our models.

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    Paper provided by University of California Transportation Center in its series University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers with number qt7kv5f17n.

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    Date of creation: 01 Sep 2002
    Handle: RePEc:cdl:uctcwp:qt7kv5f17n
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    1. McFadden, Daniel & Ruud, Paul A, 1994. "Estimation by Simulation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 76(4), pages 591-608, November.
    2. Keane, Michael & Moffitt, Robert, 1998. "A Structural Model of Multiple Welfare Program Participation and Labor Supply," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(3), pages 553-589, August.
    3. Geweke, John & Keane, Michael P & Runkle, David, 1994. "Alternative Computational Approaches to Inference in the Multinomial Probit Model," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 76(4), pages 609-632, November.
    4. McFadden, Daniel, 1989. "A Method of Simulated Moments for Estimation of Discrete Response Models without Numerical Integration," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(5), pages 995-1026, September.
    5. van Wissen, Leo J. & Golob, Thomas F., 1990. "Simultaneous Equation Systems Involving Binary Choice Variables," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt5t28k04n, University of California Transportation Center.
    6. Golob, Thomas F. & Regan, Amelia C., 1999. "Freight industry attitudes towards policies to reduce congestion," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt3fq6x2sq, University of California Transportation Center.
    7. Pakes, Ariel & Pollard, David, 1989. "Simulation and the Asymptotics of Optimization Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(5), pages 1027-1057, September.
    8. P. Bentler, 1983. "Some contributions to efficient statistics in structural models: Specification and estimation of moment structures," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 48(4), pages 493-517, December.
    9. Ulf Olsson, 1979. "Maximum likelihood estimation of the polychoric correlation coefficient," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 44(4), pages 443-460, December.
    10. Golob, Thomas F. & Regan, A C, 1999. "Freight Industry Attitudes Towards Policies to Reduce Congestion," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt57r4d3fd, University of California Transportation Center.
    11. Hall, Randolph W. & Intihar, Chris, 1997. "Commercial Vehicle Operations: Government Interfaces And Intelligent Transportation Systems," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt9p272488, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    12. Regan, Amelia C. & Golob, Thomas F., 2000. "Trucking industry perceptions of congestion problems and potential solutions in maritime intermodal operations in California," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 34(8), pages 587-605, November.
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