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Implications of Past Currency Crises for the U.S. Current Account Adjustment: Working Paper 2006-07

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  • Juann H. Hung
  • Young Jin Kim

Abstract

This paper examines past currency crises to shed light on the likelihood that the adjustment of the U.S. current account deficit will involve a dollar crisis. A currency crisis is narrowly defined to be a depreciation that exceeds a critical threshold, regardless of whether it has an adverse effect on the real economy. The literature suggests that one should not infer from the experience of emerging economies what will happen to the dollar. This paper’s empirical findings lend support to that view. Everything else being equal, currencies are more likely to collapse in

Suggested Citation

  • Juann H. Hung & Young Jin Kim, 2006. "Implications of Past Currency Crises for the U.S. Current Account Adjustment: Working Paper 2006-07," Working Papers 17861, Congressional Budget Office.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbo:wpaper:17861
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    Cited by:

    1. Juann H. Hung & Rong Qian, 2010. "Why Is China's Saving Rate So High? A Comparative Study of Cross-Country Panel Data: Working Paper 2010-07," Working Papers 21920, Congressional Budget Office.

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