IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bsl/wpaper/2017-08.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Sensitivity of energy system investments to policy regulation changes: Application of the blue sky catastrophe

Author

Listed:
  • Bondarev, Anton
  • Weigt, Hannes

Abstract

In this paper we argue, that the interaction of technology and economic policy regulations in the energy sector may be described by the so-called slow-fast class of dynamical systems. It is known that such systems may exhibit the blue sky catastrophe, a special type of bifurcation. Application of this result allows us to argue that caution is needed when updating economic policies in the energy sector to avoid the onset of catastrophic developments in the system's transformation, when energy system dynamics becomes unresponsive to policy updates.

Suggested Citation

  • Bondarev, Anton & Weigt, Hannes, 2017. "Sensitivity of energy system investments to policy regulation changes: Application of the blue sky catastrophe," Working papers 2017/08, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
    • Handle: RePEc:bsl:wpaper:2017/08
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://edoc.unibas.ch/server/api/core/bitstreams/19280cbb-67a9-4717-8e57-bed3d6d3a928/content
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anastasios Xepapadeas, 2010. "Modeling complex systems," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 41(s1), pages 181-191, November.
    2. Tooraj Jamasb and Michael Pollitt, 2005. "Electricity Market Reform in the European Union: Review of Progress toward Liberalization & Integration," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Special I), pages 11-42.
    3. Manuel Frondel & Christoph M. Schmidt & Colin Vance, 2014. "Revisiting Germanyùs solar cell promotion: An unfolding disaster," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 3-13.
    4. Paul L. Joskow, 2008. "Lessons Learned From Electricity Market Liberalization," The Energy Journal, , vol. 29(2_suppl), pages 9-42, December.
    5. Hogan, William W, 2002. "Electricity Market Restructuring: Reforms of Reforms," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 103-132, January.
    6. Newbery, David & Strbac, Goran & Viehoff, Ivan, 2016. "The benefits of integrating European electricity markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 253-263.
    7. Strunz, Sebastian & Gawel, Erik & Lehmann, Paul & Söderholm, Patrik, 2015. "Policy convergence: A conceptual framework based on lessons from renewable energy policies in the EU," UFZ Discussion Papers 14/2015, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ), Division of Social Sciences (ÖKUS).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cao, Jing & Ho, Mun S. & Ma, Rong & Zhang, Yu, 2024. "Transition from plan to market: Imperfect regulations in the electricity sector of China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 509-533.
    2. Tooraj Jamasb & Rabindra Nepal & Govinda R. Timilsina, 2017. "A Quarter Century Effort Yet to Come of Age: A Survey of Electricity Sector Reform in Developing Countries," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).
    3. Erdogdu, Erkan, 2011. "The impact of power market reforms on electricity price-cost margins and cross-subsidy levels: A cross country panel data analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1080-1092, March.
    4. Ibarra-Yunez, Alejandro, 2015. "Energy reform in Mexico: Imperfect unbundling in the electricity sector," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 19-27.
    5. Michael G. Pollitt, 2019. "The European Single Market in Electricity: An Economic Assessment," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 55(1), pages 63-87, August.
    6. Erdogdu, Erkan, 2013. "Essays on Electricity Market Reforms: A Cross-Country Applied Approach," MPRA Paper 47139, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Tin Cheuk Leung & Kwok Ping Ping & Kevin K. Tsui, 2019. "What can deregulators deregulate? The case of electricity," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 1-32, August.
    8. Alfredo Alcayde & Raul Baños & Francisco M. Arrabal-Campos & Francisco G. Montoya, 2019. "Optimization of the Contracted Electric Power by Means of Genetic Algorithms," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-13, April.
    9. Ioannidis, Filippos & Kosmidou, Kyriaki & Makridou, Georgia & Andriosopoulos, Kostas, 2019. "Market design of an energy exchange: The case of Greece," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    10. Osińska, Magdalena & Kyzym, Mykola & Khaustova, Victoriia & Ilyash, Olha & Salashenko, Tetiana, 2022. "Does the Ukrainian electricity market correspond to the european model?," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    11. Gaffney, F. & Deane, J.P. & Gallachóir, B.P.Ó, 2017. "A 100 year review of electricity policy in Ireland (1916–2015)," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 67-79.
    12. Delia Vasilica Rotaru, 2013. "A Glance At The European Energy Market Liberalization," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 5(1), pages 100-110.
    13. Marino, Marianna & Parrotta, Pierpaolo & Valletta, Giacomo, 2019. "Electricity (de)regulation and innovation," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(3), pages 748-758.
    14. Bigerna, Simona & D'Errico, Maria Chiara & Polinori, Paolo, 2020. "Heterogeneous impacts of regulatory policy stringency on the EU electricity Industry:A Bayesian shrinkage dynamic analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    15. Nepal, Rabindra & Jamasb, Tooraj, 2015. "Caught between theory and practice: Government, market, and regulatory failure in electricity sector reforms," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 16-24.
    16. Asane-Otoo, Emmanuel, 2016. "Competition policies and environmental quality: Empirical analysis of the electricity sector in OECD countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 212-223.
    17. Gore, Olga & Viljainen, Satu & Makkonen, Mari & Kuleshov, Dmitry, 2012. "Russian electricity market reform: Deregulation or re-regulation?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 676-685.
    18. Abada, Ibrahim & Belkhouja, Mustapha & Ehrenmann, Andreas, 2025. "On the valuation of legacy power production in liberalized markets via option-pricing," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 322(3), pages 1005-1024.
    19. Michael Davidson & Fredrich Kahrl & Valerie Karplus, 2016. "Towards a political economy framework for wind power: Does China break the mould?," WIDER Working Paper Series 032, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    20. Xuejuan Su, 2015. "Have customers benefited from electricity retail competition?," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 146-182, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • L51 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - Economics of Regulation
    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy
    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bsl:wpaper:2017/08. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: WWZ (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/wwzbsch.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.