Testing the quantity theory using long-run averaged cross-country data
Using data from Barro (1990), Dwyer and Hafer (1988), Duck (1993) and Vogel (1974), we revisit the finding that cross-sectional regressions of long-run average inflation on money growth and real income growth support the quantity theory, and conclude that, as is frequently argued, this depends on the inclusion in the sample of a few countries with very high money growth. The most likely reason for the rejection of the theory when these data points are excluded is simultaneity bias, the importance of which is mitigated when high-inflation countries are included in the sample. Omitted variables bias may also play a role, but measurement errors are unlikely to do so.
|Date of creation:||Dec 1995|
|Date of revision:|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: |
Phone: (41) 61 - 280 80 80
Fax: (41) 61 - 280 91 00
Web page: http://www.bis.org/
More information through EDIRC
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Duck, Nigel W., 1988. "Money, output and prices: : An empirical study using long-term cross country data," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(8), pages 1603-1619, October.
- Duck, Nigel W, 1993. "Some International Evidence on the Quantity Theory of Money," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 25(1), pages 1-12, February.
- Burda, Michael & Wyplosz, Charles, 2009.
"Macroeconomics: A European Text,"
Oxford University Press,
edition 5, number 9780199236824, March.
- Schwartz, Anna J, 1973.
"Secular Price Change in Historical Perspective,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 5(1), pages 243-69, Part II F.
- Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1980. "Two Illustrations of the Quantity Theory of Money," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(5), pages 1005-14, December.
- Lothian, James R, 1985. "Equilibrium Relationships between Money and Other Economic Variables," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 75(4), pages 828-35, September.
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:31. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Christian Beslmeisl)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.