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Inflation and monetary regimes

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  • Gerald P. Dwyer
  • Mark Fisher

Abstract

Correlations of inflation with the growth rate of money increase when data are averaged over longer time periods. Correlations of inflation with the growth of money also are higher when high-inflation as well as low-inflation countries are included in the analysis. We show that serial correlation in the underlying inflation rate ties these two observations together and explains them. We present evidence that averaging increases the correlation of inflation and money growth more when the underlying inflation rate has higher serial correlation.

Suggested Citation

  • Gerald P. Dwyer & Mark Fisher, 2009. "Inflation and monetary regimes," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2009-26, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedawp:2009-26
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. John C. Frain, 2004. "Inflation and Money Growth - Evidence from a Multi-Country Data-Set," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 35(3), pages 251-266.
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    9. Gerald P. Dwyer & Rik Hafer, 1999. "Are money growth and inflation still related?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, vol. 84(Q2), pages 32-43.
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    1. Bosupeng, Mpho & Biza-Khupe, Simangaliso, 2015. "The Impact of Money Supply Volatility on the Fisher Effect –A Botswana Empirical Perspective," MPRA Paper 77920, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2015.
    2. Janice Boucher Breuer & John Mcdermott & Warren E. Weber, 2018. "Time Aggregation and the Relationship between Inflation and Money Growth," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(2-3), pages 351-375, March.
    3. Zina V.MARCU căs. CIORAN, 2013. "Monetary Policy And The Inflation Targeting Strategy," SEA - Practical Application of Science, Romanian Foundation for Business Intelligence, Editorial Department, issue 2, pages 167-173, October.
    4. Murdipi, Rafiqa & Law, Siong Hook, 2016. "Dynamic Linkages between Price Indices and Inflation in Malaysia," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 50(1), pages 41-52.
    5. repec:cmj:journl:y:2013:i:29:cioran is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Lothian, James R. & McCarthy, Cornelia H., 2009. "The behavior of money and other economic variables: Two natural experiments," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(7), pages 1204-1220, November.
    7. Cuneyt Dumrul & Yasemin Dumrul, 2015. "Price-Money Relationship after Infl ation Targeting: Co-integration Test with Structural Breaks for Turkey and Brazil," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(3), pages 701-708.
    8. Hossain, Akhand Akhtar & Arwatchanakarn, Popkarn, 2017. "Does Money Have a Role in Monetary Policy for Price Stability under Inflation Targeting in Thailand?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 37-55.

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