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Climate Change, Hydro-dependency and the African Dam Boom

  • Matthew Cole
  • Robert Elliott
  • Eric Strobl

We examine Africa's increasing reliance on hydropower in light of climate change induced variations in rainfall and the potential power outages that may result. We use a continent wide riverflow material model and IPPC climate change scenarios and show that current plans for African dam building are fairly well matched with river-flow predictions so that fears that international donors and national governments are making a series of expensive and environmentally damaging investments may be overstated. However, predictions of an increase in extreme events and reduced rainfall for certain countries means there are still viabilty concerns for certain planned hydropower investments.

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File URL: ftp://ftp.bham.ac.uk/pub/RePEc/pdf/14-03.pdf
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Paper provided by Department of Economics, University of Birmingham in its series Discussion Papers with number 14-03.

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Length: 45 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2014
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bir:birmec:14-03
Contact details of provider: Postal: Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 2TT
Web page: http://www.economics.bham.ac.uk

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  1. Anissa Chaibi & Mohamed Arouri & Gazi Salah Uddin & Sanjib Chakraborty & Philippe Foulquier, 2013. "Business Activity and Environmental Degradation in Mexico," Working Papers 2013-033, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  2. Schumacher, Ingmar, 2015. "The endogenous formation of an environmental culture," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 200-221.
  3. Nguyen, Cuong, 2012. "Does Urbanization Help Poverty Reduction in Rural Areas?Evidence from a Developing Country," MPRA Paper 48660, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  4. Ikram Jebabli & Mohamed Arouri & Frédéric Teulon, 2014. "On the effects of world stock market and oil price shocks on food prices: An empirical investigation based on TVPVAR models with stochastic volatility," Working Papers 2014-209, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  5. Mohamed Arouri & Gazi Salah Uddin & Kishwar Nawaz & Muhammad Shahbaz & Frédéric Teulon, 2013. "Causal Linkages between Financial Development, Trade Openness and Economic Growth: Fresh Evidence from Innovative Accounting Approach in Case of Bangladesh," Working Papers 2013-037, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  6. repec:ipg:wpaper:33 is not listed on IDEAS
  7. Matthew A. Cole & Robert J R Elliott & Toshihiro Okubo & Eric Strobl, 2014. "Natural Disasters and the Birth, Life and Death of Plants: The Case of the Kobe Earthquake," Working Papers 2014-114, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  8. Mohamed El Hedi Arouri & Adel Ben Youssef & Cuong Nguyen-Viet, 2014. "Does Urbanization Help Poverty Reduction in Rural Areas? Evidence from Vietnam," Working Papers halshs-01068266, HAL.
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  10. IIMI, Atsushi, 2007. "Estimating global climate change impacts on hydropower projects : applications in India, Sri Lanka and Vietnam," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4344, The World Bank.
  11. Nguyen, Cuong, 2012. "Do Minimum Wages Affect Firms’ Labor and Capital? Evidence from Vietnam," MPRA Paper 48656, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  12. Salvador Barrios & Luisito Bertinelli & Eric Strobl, 2010. "Trends in Rainfall and Economic Growth in Africa: A Neglected Cause of the African Growth Tragedy," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(2), pages 350-366, May.
  13. World Bank, 2012. "World Development Indicators 2012," World Bank Publications, The World Bank, number 6014.
  14. Karekezi, Stephen, 2002. "Poverty and energy in Africa--A brief review," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 30(11-12), pages 915-919, September.
  15. Ouattara, Bazoumana & Strobl, Eric, 2013. "The fiscal implications of hurricane strikes in the Caribbean," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 105-115.
  16. Jane Ebinger & Walter Vergara, 2011. "Climate Impacts on Energy Systems : Key Issues for Energy Sector Adaptation," World Bank Publications, The World Bank, number 2271.
  17. Riadh Aloui & Mohamed Safouane Ben Aissa & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2014. "A wavelet-based copula approach for modeling market risk in agricultural commodity markets," Working Papers 2014-412, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  18. repec:ipg:wpaper:37 is not listed on IDEAS
  19. Foster, Vivien & Steinbuks, Jevgenijs, 2009. "Paying the price for unreliable power supplies : in-house generation of electricity by firms in Africa," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4913, The World Bank.
  20. Eliane El Badaoui & Eric Strobl & Frank Walsh, 2014. "The Impact of Internal Migration on Local Labour Markets in Thailand," Working Papers 2014-071, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  21. Anis Omri & Anissa Chaibi, 2014. "Nuclear energy, renewable energy, and economic growth in developed and developing countries : A modelling analysis from simultaneous-equation models," Working Papers 2014-188, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  22. Wolde-Rufael, Yemane, 2006. "Electricity consumption and economic growth: a time series experience for 17 African countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(10), pages 1106-1114, July.
  23. AfDB AfDB, . "The Africa Competitiveness Report 2013," Africa Competitiveness Report, African Development Bank, number 456, 7.
  24. Hunt Allcott & Allan Collard-Wexler & Stephen D. O'Connell, 2014. "How Do Electricity Shortages Affect Productivity? Evidence from India," NBER Working Papers 19977, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  25. Mohamed Arouri & Muhammad Shahbaz & Rattapon Onchang & Faridul Islam & Frédéric Teulon, 2014. "Environmental Kuznets Curve in Thailand: Cointegration and Causality Analysis," Working Papers 2014-204, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  26. repec:ipg:wpaper:10 is not listed on IDEAS
  27. Elodie Blanc & Eric Strobl, 2013. "Water Availability and Crop Growth at the Crop Plot Level in South Africa," Working Papers 2013-011, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  28. Elodie Blanc & Eric Strobl, 2013. "Is small better? A comparison of the effect of large and small dams on cropland productivity in South Africa," Working Papers 2013-010, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  29. Eric Strobl & Frank Walsh, 2014. "Monopsony, Minimum Wages and Migration," Working Papers 2014-069, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  30. Francis Yamba & Hartley Walimwipi & Suman Jain & Peter Zhou & Boaventura Cuamba & Cornelius Mzezewa, 2011. "Climate change/variability implications on hydroelectricity generation in the Zambezi River Basin," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 16(6), pages 617-628, August.
  31. Deichmann, Uwe & Meisner, Craig & Murray, Siobhan & Wheeler, David, 2010. "The economics of renewable energy expansion in rural Sub-Saharan Africa," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5193, The World Bank.
  32. Luca Marchiori & Jean-Francois Maystadt & Ingmar Schumacher, 2013. "Is environmentally-induced income variability a driver of migration? A macroeconomic perspective," Working Papers 2013-017, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  33. repec:ipg:wpaper:13 is not listed on IDEAS
  34. Khennas, Smail, 2012. "Understanding the political economy and key drivers of energy access in addressing national energy access priorities and policies: African Perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(S1), pages 21-26.
  35. Ingmar Schumacher, 2014. "The Aggregation Dilemma in Climate Change Policy Evaluation," Working Papers 2014-428, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
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