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Time-Inconsistent Manager Incentives and Capital Formation

Author

Listed:
  • José-Víctor Ríos-Rull
  • Josef Schroth
  • Tamon Takamura
  • Yaz Terajima

Abstract

The empirical literature emphasizes the importance of protecting shareholder rights by encouraging managers to deliver a high present value of payouts. We show that this alignment is dynamically self-defeating: whenever access to outside equity is possible, even if costly, and commitment is limited, compensation tied to total payouts inadvertently generates endogenous managerial short-termism through time inconsistency. Paradoxically, a manager who cannot commit to restrain future equity issuance raises substantial outside funding yet invests too little today. When managers cannot commit ex ante, they rationally discount the marginal benefit of investment at a rate below the subjective discount factor, even though managers and shareholders share the same information and discount factor. The resulting wedge raises the manager’s perceived cost of capital and reduces long-run investment. Rewarding the manager for per-share rather than total payouts removes the incentive to dilute incumbent shareholders and restores efficient issuance and investment. Among implementable contracts it maximizes the value accruing to incumbent shareholders and converges to the first-best steady state, so per-share indexing dominates absolute-payout pay for the firm’s existing shareholders.

Suggested Citation

  • José-Víctor Ríos-Rull & Josef Schroth & Tamon Takamura & Yaz Terajima, 2026. "Time-Inconsistent Manager Incentives and Capital Formation," Staff Working Papers 26-25, Bank of Canada.
  • Handle: RePEc:bca:bocawp:26-25
    DOI: 10.34989/swp-2026-25
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    JEL classification:

    • G - Financial Economics
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G34 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Corporate Governance
    • J - Labor and Demographic Economics
    • J3 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs
    • J33 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Compensation Packages; Payment Methods

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