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Nonparametric estimator of the tail dependence coefficient: balancing bias and variance

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  • Matthieu Garcin
  • Maxime L. D. Nicolas

Abstract

A theoretical expression is derived for the mean squared error of a nonparametric estimator of the tail dependence coefficient, depending on a threshold that defines which rank delimits the tails of a distribution. We propose a new method to optimally select this threshold. It combines the theoretical mean squared error of the estimator with a parametric estimation of the copula linking observations in the tails. Using simulations, we compare this semiparametric method with other approaches proposed in the literature, including the plateau-finding algorithm.

Suggested Citation

  • Matthieu Garcin & Maxime L. D. Nicolas, 2021. "Nonparametric estimator of the tail dependence coefficient: balancing bias and variance," Papers 2111.11128, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2111.11128
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    References listed on IDEAS

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