IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/0812.0761.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Option Pricing Model Based on a Markov-modulated Diffusion with Jumps

Author

Listed:
  • Nikita Ratanov

Abstract

The paper proposes a class of financial market models which are based on inhomogeneous telegraph processes and jump diffusions with alternating volatilities. It is assumed that the jumps occur when the tendencies and volatilities are switching. We argue that such a model captures well the stock price dynamics under periodic financial cycles. The distribution of this process is described in detail. For this model we obtain the structure of the set of martingale measures. This incomplete model can be completed by adding another asset based on the same sources of randomness. Explicit closed-form formulae for prices of the standard European options are obtained for the completed market model.

Suggested Citation

  • Nikita Ratanov, 2008. "Option Pricing Model Based on a Markov-modulated Diffusion with Jumps," Papers 0812.0761, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:0812.0761
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/0812.0761
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert J. Elliott & John van der Hoek, 1997. "An application of hidden Markov models to asset allocation problems (*)," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 1(3), pages 229-238.
    2. Masoliver, Jaume & Montero, Miquel & Perelló, Josep & Weiss, George H., 2007. "The CTRW in finance: Direct and inverse problems with some generalizations and extensions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 379(1), pages 151-167.
    3. M. Montero, 2008. "Renewal equations for option pricing," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 65(2), pages 295-306, September.
    4. Alessandro De Gregorio & Stefano M. Iacus, 2007. "Change point estimation for the telegraph process observed at discrete times," Papers 0705.0503, arXiv.org.
    5. Benoit Mandelbrot & Howard M. Taylor, 1967. "On the Distribution of Stock Price Differences," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 15(6), pages 1057-1062, December.
    6. Merton, Robert C., 1976. "Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 125-144.
    7. Robert C. Merton, 2005. "Theory of rational option pricing," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 8, pages 229-288, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    8. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    9. X. Guo, 2001. "Information and option pricings," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(1), pages 38-44.
    10. Clark, Peter K, 1973. "A Subordinated Stochastic Process Model with Finite Variance for Speculative Prices," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 41(1), pages 135-155, January.
    11. Cox, John C. & Ross, Stephen A., 1976. "The valuation of options for alternative stochastic processes," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 145-166.
    12. Mazza, Christian & Rulliere, Didier, 2004. "A link between wave governed random motions and ruin processes," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 205-222, October.
    13. Benoit Mandelbrot, 2015. "The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Anastasios G Malliaris & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS, chapter 3, pages 39-78, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Antonio Di Crescenzo & Shelemyahu Zacks, 2015. "Probability Law and Flow Function of Brownian Motion Driven by a Generalized Telegraph Process," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 761-780, September.
    2. Nikita Ratanov, 2016. "Option Pricing Under Jump-Diffusion Processes with Regime Switching," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 829-845, September.
    3. Nikita Ratanov, 2020. "First Crossing Times of Telegraph Processes with Jumps," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 349-370, March.
    4. Ratanov, Nikita, 2015. "Hypo-exponential distributions and compound Poisson processes with alternating parameters," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 71-78.
    5. Anatoliy A. Pogorui & Anatoliy Swishchuk & Ramón M. Rodríguez-Dagnino, 2021. "Transformations of Telegraph Processes and Their Financial Applications," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-21, August.
    6. Nikita Ratanov, 2015. "Telegraph Processes with Random Jumps and Complete Market Models," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 677-695, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ghysels, E. & Harvey, A. & Renault, E., 1995. "Stochastic Volatility," Papers 95.400, Toulouse - GREMAQ.
    2. Laura Eslava & Fernando Baltazar-Larios & Bor Reynoso, 2022. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation for a Markov-Modulated Jump-Diffusion Model," Papers 2211.17220, arXiv.org.
    3. René Garcia & Richard Luger & Eric Renault, 2000. "Asymmetric Smiles, Leverage Effects and Structural Parameters," Working Papers 2000-57, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    4. Abootaleb Shirvani & Yuan Hu & Svetlozar T. Rachev & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2019. "Option Pricing with Mixed Levy Subordinated Price Process and Implied Probability Weighting Function," Papers 1910.05902, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2020.
    5. Geman, Hélyette, 2005. "From measure changes to time changes in asset pricing," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(11), pages 2701-2722, November.
    6. Siu, Tak Kuen, 2008. "A game theoretic approach to option valuation under Markovian regime-switching models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 1146-1158, June.
    7. Jovanovic, Franck & Schinckus, Christophe, 2017. "Econophysics and Financial Economics: An Emerging Dialogue," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780190205034.
    8. Ata Türkoğlu, 2016. "Normally distributed high-frequency returns: a subordination approach," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 389-409, March.
    9. Valerii Salov, 2017. "The Wandering of Corn," Papers 1704.01179, arXiv.org.
    10. Chang, Carolyn W. & S.K. Chang, Jack & Lim, Kian-Guan, 1998. "Information-time option pricing: theory and empirical evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 211-242, May.
    11. Jean-Philippe Aguilar & Jan Korbel & Nicolas Pesci, 2021. "On the Quantitative Properties of Some Market Models Involving Fractional Derivatives," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(24), pages 1-24, December.
    12. Jinghai Shao & Sovan Mitra & Andreas Karathanasopoulos, 2022. "Optimal feedback control of stock prices under credit risk dynamics," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 1285-1318, June.
    13. Jaramillo-López, Oscar Andrés & Forero-Laverde, Germán & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2020. "Evolución del supuesto de normalidad en finanzas: un análisis epistemológico del tipo Popper-Kuhn ¿Por qué la normalidad no cae en desuso? [Evolution of the assumption of normality in finance: a ep," MPRA Paper 101938, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Philipp N. Baecker, 2007. "Real Options and Intellectual Property," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, Springer, number 978-3-540-48264-2, December.
    15. Steven Kou, 2000. "A Jump Diffusion Model for Option Pricing with Three Properties: Leptokurtic Feature, Volatility Smile, and Analytical Tractability," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0062, Econometric Society.
    16. Omid M. Ardakani, 2022. "Option pricing with maximum entropy densities: The inclusion of higher‐order moments," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(10), pages 1821-1836, October.
    17. Anatoliy Swishchuk, 2013. "Modeling and Pricing of Swaps for Financial and Energy Markets with Stochastic Volatilities," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 8660, January.
    18. Yeap, Claudia & Kwok, Simon S. & Choy, S. T. Boris, 2016. "A Flexible Generalised Hyperbolic Option Pricing Model and its Special Cases," Working Papers 2016-14, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
    19. Zura Kakushadze, 2016. "Volatility Smile as Relativistic Effect," Papers 1610.02456, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2017.
    20. Geman, Helyette, 2002. "Pure jump Levy processes for asset price modelling," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1297-1316, July.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:0812.0761. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.