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Option Pricing with Mixed Levy Subordinated Price Process and Implied Probability Weighting Function

Author

Listed:
  • Abootaleb Shirvani
  • Yuan Hu
  • Svetlozar T. Rachev
  • Frank J. Fabozzi

Abstract

It is essential to incorporate the impact of investor behavior when modeling the dynamics of asset returns. In this paper, we reconcile behavioral finance and rational finance by incorporating investor behavior within the framework of dynamic asset pricing theory. To include the views of investors, we employ the method of subordination which has been proposed in the literature by including business (intrinsic, market) time. We define a mixed Levy subordinated model by adding a single subordinated Levy process to the well-known log-normal model, resulting in a new log-price process. We apply the proposed models to study the behavioral finance notion of "greed and fear" disposition from the perspective of rational dynamic asset pricing theory. The greedy or fearful disposition of option traders is studied using the shape of the probability weighting function. We then derive the implied probability weighting function for the fear and greed deposition of option traders in comparison to spot traders. Our result shows the diminishing sensitivity of option traders. Diminishing sensitivity results in option traders overweighting the probability of big losses in comparison to spot traders.

Suggested Citation

  • Abootaleb Shirvani & Yuan Hu & Svetlozar T. Rachev & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2019. "Option Pricing with Mixed Levy Subordinated Price Process and Implied Probability Weighting Function," Papers 1910.05902, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2020.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1910.05902
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Safoora Zarei & Ali R. Fallahi, 2019. "Pay-As-You-Drive Insurance Pricing Model," Papers 1912.09273, arXiv.org.
    2. Yuan Hu & W. Brent Lindquist & Svetlozar T. Rachev & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2023. "Option pricing using a skew random walk pricing tree," Papers 2303.17014, arXiv.org.
    3. Thisari K. Mahanama & Abootaleb Shirvani & Svetlozar Rachev & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2023. "The Financial Market of Environmental Indices," Papers 2308.15661, arXiv.org.
    4. Thilini Mahanama & Abootaleb Shirvani & Svetlozar Rachev, 2022. "A Natural Disasters Index," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 24(2), pages 263-284, April.
    5. Thilini V. Mahanama & Abootaleb Shirvani & Svetlozar Rachev, 2023. "The Financial Market of Indices of Socioeconomic Wellbeing," Papers 2303.05654, arXiv.org.

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