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Validation of land use models

Author

Listed:
  • Bonsch, Markus
  • Dietrich, Jan Philipp
  • Lotze-Campen, Hermann
  • Alexanger Popp and
  • Stevanovic, Miodrag

Abstract

Landuse dynamics in the real world are connected to the ecosystem as well as the economic system, both of which are very complex in nature. Constructing models that produce reliable quantitative results about these dynamics is therefore a very ambitious task. One aim of this article is to make a first proposal for set of validation guidelines for the land use modeling community. While agreeing about standards for land use model validation may in itself be a major step forward, the even bigger challenge is to put this theoretical agreement into effect, i.e. not only to talk about good scientific practice but to change the real processes of model evaluation and development according to those guidelines. Therefore we present a set of tools that we have developed for validating the economic landuse optimization model MAgPIE. It is designed in a way that it can also be used by other land use modeling groups.

Suggested Citation

  • Bonsch, Markus & Dietrich, Jan Philipp & Lotze-Campen, Hermann & Alexanger Popp and & Stevanovic, Miodrag, 2013. "Validation of land use models," Conference papers 330164, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:330164
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    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/330164/files/6366_Bonsch.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hermann Lotze‐Campen & Christoph Müller & Alberte Bondeau & Stefanie Rost & Alexander Popp & Wolfgang Lucht, 2008. "Global food demand, productivity growth, and the scarcity of land and water resources: a spatially explicit mathematical programming approach," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 39(3), pages 325-338, November.
    2. Lotze-Campen, Hermann & Popp, Alexander & Beringer, Tim & Müller, Christoph & Bondeau, Alberte & Rost, Stefanie & Lucht, Wolfgang, 2010. "Scenarios of global bioenergy production: The trade-offs between agricultural expansion, intensification and trade," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(18), pages 2188-2196.
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    Cited by:

    1. Christoph Schmitz & Hans van Meijl & Page Kyle & Gerald C. Nelson & Shinichiro Fujimori & Angelo Gurgel & Petr Havlik & Edwina Heyhoe & Daniel Mason d'Croz & Alexander Popp & Ron Sands & Andrzej Tabea, 2014. "Land-use change trajectories up to 2050: insights from a global agro-economic model comparison," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(1), pages 69-84, January.

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