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The Effects of Brazilian Second (Winter) Corn Crop on Price Seasonality, Basis Behavior and Integration to International Market

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  • Mattos, Fabio
  • Silveira, Rodrigo L. F.

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of the growth of Brazilian winter corn crop on spot price seasonality, basis patterns, and the integration to international market. A moving average method and regression analysis were used to test for seasonal variations, while econometric time-series methods tests were applied to verify the market integration. Results indicated that the expansion of the winter corn crop has changed the seasonality of prices and basis and increased the level of integration with the international market. crop on spot price seasonality, basis patterns, and the integration to international market. A moving average method and regression analysis were used to test for seasonal variations, while econometric time-series methods tests were applied to verify the market integration. Results indicated that the expansion of the winter corn crop has changed the seasonality of prices and basis and increased the level of integration with the international market.

Suggested Citation

  • Mattos, Fabio & Silveira, Rodrigo L. F., 2015. "The Effects of Brazilian Second (Winter) Corn Crop on Price Seasonality, Basis Behavior and Integration to International Market," 2015 Conference, April 20-21, 2015, St. Louis, Missouri 285840, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:n13415:285840
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.285840
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