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An Analysis of the Link between Ethanol, Energy, and Crop Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Tokgoz, Simla
  • Elobeid, Amani E.

Abstract

This study analyzes the impact of price shocks in three input and output markets critical to ethanol: gasoline, corn, and sugar. We investigate the impact of these shocks on ethanol and related agricultural markets in the United States and Brazil. We find that the composition of a country's vehicle fleet determines the direction of the response of ethanol consumption to changes in the gasoline price. We also find that a change in feedstock costs affects the profitability of ethanol producers and the domestic ethanol price. In Brazil, where two commodities compete for sugarcane, changes in the sugar market affect the competing ethanol market.

Suggested Citation

  • Tokgoz, Simla & Elobeid, Amani E., 2006. "An Analysis of the Link between Ethanol, Energy, and Crop Markets," Hebrew University of Jerusalem Archive 18453, Hebrew University of Jerusalem.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:hebarc:18453
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.18453
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    Cited by:

    1. Jacinto F. Fabiosa & John C. Beghin & Fengxia Dong & JAmani Elobeid & Simla Tokgoz & Tun-Hsiang Yu, 2010. "Land Allocation Effects of the Global Ethanol Surge: Predictions from the International FAPRI Model," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 86(4), pages 687-706.
    2. is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Serra, Teresa & Gil, José M., 2012. "Biodiesel as a motor fuel price stabilization mechanism," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 689-698.
    4. Marzoughi, Hassan & Kennedy, P. Lynn & Hilbun, Brian M., 2008. "Impact of Corn Based Ethanol Production on the U.S. High Fructose Corn Syrup (HFCS) and Sugar Markets," 2008 Annual Meeting, February 2-6, 2008, Dallas, Texas 6792, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    5. F. Souty & T. Brunelle & P. Dumas & B. Dorin, & P. Ciais & R. Crassous, 2012. "The Nexus Land-Use Model, an Approach Articulating Biophysical Potentials and Economic Dynamics to Model Competition for Land-Uses," Working Papers 2012.16, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    6. repec:aen:journl:33-2-08 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Capitani, Daniel Henrique Dario & Tonin, Julyerme M. & Cruz, Jose Cesar, "undated". "Integration and hedging efficiency between the Brazilian and the U.S. ethanol markets," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258520, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    8. Brockmeier, Martina & Urban, Kirsten, 2008. "Assessing the Impacts of Agricultural Policies on the Global, National and Farm level - A Survey of Model Systems," Conference papers 331684, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    9. Du, Xiaodong & Carriquiry, Miguel A., 2013. "Flex-fuel vehicle adoption and dynamics of ethanol prices: lessons from Brazil," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 507-512.
    10. Melo, Andre De Souza & Mota, Daniela Gonzaga Da & Lima, Ricardo Chaves, 2008. "Uma Análise Da Relação Entre Os Preços Dos Biocombustíveis E Das Culturas Alimentares No Brasil: O Caso Do Setor Sucroalcooleiro," 46th Congress, July 20-23, 2008, Rio Branco, Acre, Brazil 109701, Sociedade Brasileira de Economia, Administracao e Sociologia Rural (SOBER).
    11. Du, Xiaodong & Hayes, Dermot J., 2009. "The impact of ethanol production on US and regional gasoline markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 3227-3234, August.
    12. Doug Auld, 2008. "The Ethanol Trap: Why Policies to Promote Ethanol as Fuel Need Rethinking," C.D. Howe Institute Commentary, C.D. Howe Institute, issue 268, July.
    13. Du, Xiaodong & McPhail, Lihong Lu, 2011. "Inside the Black Box: Price Linkage and Transmission Between Energy and Agricultural Markets," 2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 103268, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    14. Hanif, Waqas & Areola Hernandez, Jose & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2021. "Tail dependence risk and spillovers between oil and food prices," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 195-209.
    15. Annalisa Zezza, 2007. "The economic and environmental sustainability of biofuel production," QA - Rivista dell'Associazione Rossi-Doria, Associazione Rossi Doria, issue 4, November.
    16. Ching-Chun Wei & Shu-Min Chen, 2016. "Examining the Relationship of Crude Oil Future Price Return and Agricultural Future Price Return in US," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(1), pages 58-64.
    17. Cha, Kyung Soo & Bae, Jeong Hwan, 2011. "Dynamic impacts of high oil prices on the bioethanol and feedstock markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 753-760, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy
    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources

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