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Integration and hedging efficiency between Brazilian and U.S. ethanol markets

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  • Capitani, Daniel Henrique Dario
  • Cruz Junior, José César
  • Tonin, Julyerme Matheus

Abstract

This study proposes to assess the ethanol market integration between U.S. and Brazil focusing on the investigation of the existence of an international ethanol price reference. We estimate a structural vector autoregressive model with error correction (SVEC) while considering not only ethanol sugar and corn prices in Brazil and in the U.S. but also international oil prices. Then we examine simultaneous hedging strategies by considering domestic and foreign futures contracts positions in the CME, NYMEX, and BM&FBOVESPA futures exchanges. Our results highlight a weak integration between U.S. and Brazil ethanol markets, as well as low levels of hedge effectiveness in using foreign ethanol futures contracts, which suggests the absence of a price reference in the global market.

Suggested Citation

  • Capitani, Daniel Henrique Dario & Cruz Junior, José César & Tonin, Julyerme Matheus, 2018. "Integration and hedging efficiency between Brazilian and U.S. ethanol markets," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 16(1), pages 93-117.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:espost:342850
    DOI: 10.19094/contextus.v16i1.1041
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