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The relationship between trade and price volatility in the Mexican and US maize markets

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  • Araujo-Enciso, Sergio Rene

Abstract

The supply of maize in the Mexican market depends to a large extent from the US imports which represent a large share of the domestic consumption. Furthermore imports exhibit a seasonal pattern, and peaks are often found close to low levels of domestic production and stocks. The present research suggests that there is a link between imports and prices volatility. Below a threshold value, imports and volatility are not related, but beyond the threshold it is volatility the variable driving imports. From the results one can argue that imports have served as a measure to stabilize prices when the domestic supply is scarce.

Suggested Citation

  • Araujo-Enciso, Sergio Rene, 2012. "The relationship between trade and price volatility in the Mexican and US maize markets," 123rd Seminar, February 23-24, 2012, Dublin, Ireland 122544, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaa123:122544
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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/122544
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lo, Ming Chien & Zivot, Eric, 2001. "Threshold Cointegration And Nonlinear Adjustment To The Law Of One Price," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(04), pages 533-576, September.
    2. Plourde, André & Watkins, G. C., 1998. "Crude oil prices between 1985 and 1994: how volatile in relation to other commodities?," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 245-262, September.
    3. Marsh, John M., 2007. "Cross-Sector Relationships Between the Corn Feed Grains and Livestock and Poultry Economies," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 32(01), April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Volatility; Maize; Imports; Mexico; Risk and Uncertainty; Q11; Q17;

    JEL classification:

    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade

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