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Monitoring regionaler Immobilienpreise

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  • Budde, Rüdiger
  • Micheli, Martin

Abstract

Immobilien haben sich in Deutschland in den vergangenen Jahren merklich verteuert. In diesem Beitrag wird untersucht, inwieweit dieser Preisanstieg auf eine nicht nachhaltige Entwicklung zurückgeführt werden muss. Wir betrachten hierfür regionale Immobilienpreise auf Ebene der Arbeitsmärkte, um räumliche Spill Over-Effekte über die administrativen Grenzen hinweg berücksichtigen zu können. Wenngleich die Preissteigerungen teils beachtliche Größenordnung erreicht haben, kann nur für einzelne Arbeitsmarktregionen eine Veränderung des Preisprozesses hin zu einem Prozess mit explosivem Verhalten, welches auf nicht nachhaltige Entwicklungen hindeutet, diagnostiziert werden.

Suggested Citation

  • Budde, Rüdiger & Micheli, Martin, 2013. "Monitoring regionaler Immobilienpreise," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 64(4), pages 31-47.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:rwikon:13_04_im
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Roland Döhrn & György Barabas & Heinz Gebhardt & Tobias Kitlinski & Martin Micheli & Torsten Schmidt & Simeon Vosen & Lina Zwick, 2012. "Die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung im Inland: Gedämpfte Expansion bei hohen Risiken," RWI Konjunkturbericht, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, pages 57, 09.
    2. an de Meulen, Philipp & Micheli, Martin & Schmidt, Torsten, 2011. "Forecasting House Prices in Germany," Ruhr Economic Papers 294, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    3. Philipp an de Meulen & Martin Micheli & Torsten Schmidt, 2011. "Forecasting House Prices in Germany," Ruhr Economic Papers 0294, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.
    4. Busetti, Fabio & Taylor, A. M. Robert, 2004. "Tests of stationarity against a change in persistence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 123(1), pages 33-66, November.
    5. Döhrn, Roland & Barabas, György & Gebhardt, Heinz & Kitlinski, Tobias & Micheli, Martin & Schmidt, Torsten & Vosen, Simeon & Zwick, Lina, 2012. "Die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung im Inland: Gedämpfte Expansion bei hohen Risiken," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 63(2), pages 41-97.
    6. Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Andreas Mense, 2012. "Forecasting the Prices and Rents for Flats in Large German Cities," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1207, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    7. Matteo Iacoviello & Stefano Neri, 2010. "Housing Market Spillovers: Evidence from an Estimated DSGE Model," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 2(2), pages 125-164, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Markus Hertrich, 2019. "A Novel Housing Price Misalignment Indicator for Germany," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 759-794, November.
    2. Budde, Rüdiger & Micheli, Martin, 2017. "Monitoring regionaler Immobilienpreise 2018: Entspannung am Häusermarkt, gestiegenes Blasenrisiko am Wohnungsmarkt," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 68(4), pages 55-68.
    3. Budde, Rüdiger & Micheli, Martin, 2014. "Monitoring regionaler Immobilienpreise 2014: Preisauftrieb auf breiter Front - aber geringe Gefahr von Blasen," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 65(4), pages 31-43.
    4. Phillip an de Meulen & Martin Micheli & Sandra Schaffner, 2014. "Documentation of German Real Estate Market Data - Sample of Real Estate Advertisements on the Internet Platform ImmobilienScout24," RWI Materialien, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, pages 33, 09.
    5. Döhrn, Roland & Barabas, György & Fuest, Angela & Gebhardt, Heinz & Jäger, Philipp & Micheli, Martin & Rujin, Svetlana, 2016. "Die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung im Inland: Expansion bleibt robust," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 67(3), pages 25-64.
    6. Budde, Rüdiger & Micheli, Martin, 2016. "Monitoring regionaler Immobilienpreise 2016: Gefahr einer Überhitzung am Häusermarkt gestiegen," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 67(2), pages 17-30.
    7. an de Meulen, Philipp & Micheli, Martin & Schaffner, Sandra, 2014. "Documentation of German real estate market data: Sample of real estate advertisements on the internet platform ImmobilienScout24, 2007-2013," RWI Materialien 80, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung.
    8. Rüdiger Budde & Martin Micheli, 2014. "Monitoring regionaler Immobilienpreise 2014: Preisauftrieb auf breiter Front – aber geringe Gefahr von Blasen," RWI Konjunkturbericht, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, pages 13, December.

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