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Revisiting the Drivers of Natural Gas Prices. A replication study of Brown & Yücel (The Energy Journal, 2008)*

* This paper is a replication of an original study

Author

Listed:
  • Roberts, Gavin

Abstract

This paper replicates the analysis in the paper 'What Drives Natural Gas Prices?" by Stephen P.A. Brown and Mine K. Yücel. The replication confirms the results of that analysis: a long-run relationship existed between natural-gas prices and crude-oil prices during the period from June 1997 to June 2007. This relationship was primarily driven by crude-oil prices, as natural-gas prices adjusted to deviations from the long-run relationship. Controlling for exogenous covariates related to weather, seasonality, and supply disruptions strengthen the price relationship between these two commodities. When the sample is expanded to include data generated as recently as June 2017, evidence of the long-run relationship disappears completely. I posit that this results from increased U.S. natural-supply associated with the 'shale revolution'.

Suggested Citation

  • Roberts, Gavin, 2019. "Revisiting the Drivers of Natural Gas Prices. A replication study of Brown & Yücel (The Energy Journal, 2008)," International Journal for Re-Views in Empirical Economics (IREE), ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 3, pages 1-24.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ireejl:206818
    DOI: 10.18718/81781.11
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

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    2. Saleh Mothana Obadi & Matej Korcek, 2020. "Driving Fundamentals of Natural Gas Price in Europe," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 318-324.

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    Replication

    This item is a replication of:
  • Brown, Stephen P.A. & Yücel, Mine K., 2008. "Deliverability and regional pricing in U.S. natural gas markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 2441-2453, September.

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    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • F18 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Environment
    • F59 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - Other
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth

    Lists

    This item is featured on the following reading lists, Wikipedia, or ReplicationWiki pages:
    1. Revisiting the Drivers of Natural Gas Prices. A replication study of Brown & Yücel (The Energy Journal, 2008) (Int J Re-Views in Emp Econ 2019) in ReplicationWiki

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