IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/riskan/v37y2017i4p812-839.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Evacuation from Natural Disasters: A Systematic Review of the Literature

Author

Listed:
  • Rebecca R. Thompson
  • Dana Rose Garfin
  • Roxane Cohen Silver

Abstract

Research on evacuation from natural disasters has been published across the peer‐reviewed literature among several disparate disciplinary outlets and has suggested a wide variety of predictors of evacuation behavior. We conducted a systematic review to summarize and evaluate the current literature on demographic, storm‐related, and psychosocial correlates of natural disaster evacuation behavior. Eighty‐three eligible papers utilizing 83 independent samples were identified. Risk perception was a consistent positive predictor of evacuation, as were several demographic indicators, prior evacuation behavior, and having an evacuation plan. The influence of prior experiences, self‐efficacy, personality, and links between expected and actual behavior were examined less frequently. Prospective, longitudinal designs are relatively uncommon. Although difficult to conduct in postdisaster settings, more prospective, methodologically rigorous studies would bolster inferences. Results synthesize the current body of literature on evacuation behavior and can help inform the design of more effective predisaster evacuation warnings and procedures.

Suggested Citation

  • Rebecca R. Thompson & Dana Rose Garfin & Roxane Cohen Silver, 2017. "Evacuation from Natural Disasters: A Systematic Review of the Literature," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(4), pages 812-839, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:37:y:2017:i:4:p:812-839
    DOI: 10.1111/risa.12654
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.12654
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/risa.12654?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Brian Thiede & David Brown, 2013. "Hurricane Katrina: Who Stayed and Why?," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 32(6), pages 803-824, December.
    2. Eisenman, D.P. & Cordasco, K.M. & Asch, S. & Golden, J.F. & Glik, D., 2007. "Disaster planning and risk communication with vulnerable communities: lessons from Hurricane Katrina," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 97(S1), pages 109-115.
    3. Catherine H. Tinsley & Robin L. Dillon & Matthew A. Cronin, 2012. "How Near-Miss Events Amplify or Attenuate Risky Decision Making," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 58(9), pages 1596-1613, September.
    4. Corene Matyas & Sivaramakrishnan Srinivasan & Ignatius Cahyanto & Brijesh Thapa & Lori Pennington-Gray & Jorge Villegas, 2011. "Risk perception and evacuation decisions of Florida tourists under hurricane threats: a stated preference analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 59(2), pages 871-890, November.
    5. Mozumder, Pallab & Raheem, Nejem & Talberth, John & Berrens, Robert P., 2008. "Investigating intended evacuation from wildfires in the wildland-urban interface: Application of a bivariate probit model," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(6), pages 415-423, August.
    6. John C. Whitehead & Bob Edwards & Marieke Van Willigen & John R. Maiolo & Kenneth Wilson & Kevin T. Smith, 2000. "“Heading for Higher Ground: Factors Affecting Real and Hypothetical Hurricane Evacuation Behavior,”," Working Papers 0006, East Carolina University, Department of Economics.
    7. Jennifer Horney & Pia MacDonald & Philip Berke & Marieke Van Willigen & Jay Scott Kaufman, 2011. "Factors Associated with Hurricane Evacuation in North Carolina," Chapters, in: Anthony Rocco Lupo (ed.), Recent Hurricane Research - Climate, Dynamics, and Societal Impacts, IntechOpen.
    8. Joseph Henrich & Steve J. Heine & Ara Norenzayan, 2010. "The Weirdest People in the World?," RatSWD Working Papers 139, German Data Forum (RatSWD).
    9. Robert M. Stein & Leonardo Dueñas‐Osorio & Devika Subramanian, 2010. "Who Evacuates When Hurricanes Approach? The Role of Risk, Information, and Location," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 91(3), pages 816-834, September.
    10. Guofang Zhai & Saburo Ikeda, 2006. "Flood Risk Acceptability and Economic Value of Evacuation," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 26(3), pages 683-694, June.
    11. Elder, K. & Xirasagar, S. & Miller, N. & Bowen, S.A. & Glover, S. & Piper, C., 2007. "African Americans' decisions not to evacuate New Orleans before Hurricane Katrina: A qualitative study (American Journal of Public Health (2007) 97 (S124-S129) doi:10.2105/AJPH.2006.100867)," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 97(12), pages 2122-2122.
    12. Robert Meyer & Kenneth Broad & Ben Orlove & Nada Petrovic, 2013. "Dynamic Simulation as an Approach to Understanding Hurricane Risk Response: Insights from the Stormview Lab," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(8), pages 1532-1552, August.
    13. Elder, K. & Xirasagar, S. & Miller, N. & Bowen, S.A. & Glover, S. & Piper, C., 2007. "African Americans' decisions not to evacuate New Orleans before Hurricane Katrina: a qualitative study," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 97(S1), pages 124-129.
    14. Michael Lindell & Jung Kang & Carla Prater, 2011. "The logistics of household hurricane evacuation," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 58(3), pages 1093-1109, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Anyidoho, Prosper K. & Davidson, Rachel A. & Rambha, Tarun & Nozick, Linda K., 2022. "Prediction of population behavior in hurricane evacuations," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 200-221.
    2. Alexa Tanner & Ryan Reynolds, 2020. "The near-miss of a tsunami and an emergency evacuation: the post-exposure effects on future emergency preparedness and evacuation intentions," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(2), pages 1679-1693, November.
    3. Guy Wachtel & Jan-Dirk Schmöcker & Yuval Hadas & Yuhan Gao & Oren E Nahum & Boaz Ben-Moshe, 2021. "Planning for tourist urban evacuation routes: A framework for improving the data collection and evacuation processes," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 48(5), pages 1108-1125, June.
    4. Ibraheem M. Karaye & Jennifer A. Horney & David P. Retchless & Ashley D. Ross, 2019. "Determinants of Hurricane Evacuation from a Large Representative Sample of the U.S. Gulf Coast," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(21), pages 1-10, November.
    5. Kerstin K. Zander & Stephen T. Garnett & Harald Sterly & Sonja Ayeb-Karlsson & Barbora Šedová & Hermann Lotze-Campen & Carmen Richerzhagen & Hunter S. Baggen, 2022. "Topic modelling exposes disciplinary divergence in research on the nexus between human mobility and the environment," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-9, December.
    6. Natalie M. Scala & Allison C. Reilly & Paul L. Goethals & Michel Cukier, 2019. "Risk and the Five Hard Problems of Cybersecurity," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(10), pages 2119-2126, October.
    7. Zhao-ge Liu & Xiang-yang Li & Dilawar Khan Durrani, 2021. "Generating evacuation task plans for community typhoon emergencies: an integration of case-driven and model-driven approaches," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 745-774, March.
    8. Seungil Yum, 2023. "Analyses of human responses to Winter storm Kai using the GWR model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(2), pages 1805-1821, March.
    9. Amy Cardinal Christianson & Tara K. McGee, 2019. "Wildfire evacuation experiences of band members of Whitefish Lake First Nation 459, Alberta, Canada," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 98(1), pages 9-29, August.
    10. David Marasco & Pamela Murray-Tuite & Seth Guikema & Tom Logan, 2020. "Time to leave: an analysis of travel times during the approach and landfall of Hurricane Irma," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(2), pages 2459-2487, September.
    11. Jenna Tyler & Abdul-Akeem Sadiq & Douglas S. Noonan, 2019. "A review of the community flood risk management literature in the USA: lessons for improving community resilience to floods," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 96(3), pages 1223-1248, April.
    12. Krutein, Klaas Fiete & Goodchild, Anne, 2022. "The isolated community evacuation problem with mixed integer programming," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    13. Sheu, Jiuh-Biing, 2024. "Mass evacuation planning for disasters management: A household evacuation route choice behavior analysis," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    14. Peng Liu & Run Yang & Zhigang Xu, 2019. "How Safe Is Safe Enough for Self‐Driving Vehicles?," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(2), pages 315-325, February.
    15. Chen Qing & Shili Guo & Xin Deng & Wei Wang & Jiahao Song & Dingde Xu, 2022. "Stay in Risk Area: Place Attachment, Efficacy Beliefs and Risk Coping," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(4), pages 1-19, February.
    16. Dominic Balog‐Way & Katherine McComas & John Besley, 2020. "The Evolving Field of Risk Communication," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(S1), pages 2240-2262, November.
    17. Emmanuel Tolulope Busayo & Ahmed Mukalazi Kalumba, 2020. "Coastal Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk Reduction: A Review of Policy, Programme and Practice for Sustainable Planning Outcomes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-16, August.
    18. Matti, Stephanie & Ögmundardóttir, Helga & Aðalgeirsdóttir, Guðfinna & Reichardt, Uta, 2022. "Psychosocial response to a no-build zone: Managing landslide risk in Iceland," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    19. Bayram, Vedat & Yaman, Hande, 2024. "A joint demand and supply management approach to large scale urban evacuation planning: Evacuate or shelter-in-place, staging and dynamic resource allocation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 313(1), pages 171-191.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Miguel Esteban & Jeremy Bricker & Ricardo San Carlos Arce & Hiroshi Takagi & NamYi Yun & Warathida Chaiyapa & Alexander Sjoegren & Tomoya Shibayama, 2018. "Tsunami awareness: a comparative assessment between Japan and the USA," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(3), pages 1507-1528, September.
    2. Jian Li & Kaan Ozbay & Bekir Bartin, 2015. "Effects of Hurricanes Irene and Sandy in New Jersey: traffic patterns and highway disruptions during evacuations," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 78(3), pages 2081-2107, September.
    3. Amy Cardinal Christianson & Tara K. McGee, 2019. "Wildfire evacuation experiences of band members of Whitefish Lake First Nation 459, Alberta, Canada," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 98(1), pages 9-29, August.
    4. Pallab Mozumder & William F. Vásquez, 2018. "Understanding Hurricane Evacuation Decisions Under Contingent Scenarios: A Stated Preference Approach," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 71(2), pages 407-425, October.
    5. Laura Kuhl & Paul Kirshen & Matthias Ruth & Ellen Douglas, 2014. "Evacuation as a climate adaptation strategy for environmental justice communities," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 127(3), pages 493-504, December.
    6. Jeffrey K. Lazo & Ann Bostrom & Rebecca E. Morss & Julie L. Demuth & Heather Lazrus, 2015. "Factors Affecting Hurricane Evacuation Intentions," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(10), pages 1837-1857, October.
    7. Laura Siebeneck & Ronald Schumann & Britt-Janet Kuenanz & Seungyoon Lee & Bailey C. Benedict & Caitlyn M. Jarvis & Satish V. Ukkusuri, 2020. "Returning home after Superstorm Sandy: phases in the return-entry process," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 101(1), pages 195-215, March.
    8. Masahiro Shoji & Yoko Takafuji & Tetsuya Harada, 2020. "Formal education and disaster response of children: evidence from coastal villages in Indonesia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(2), pages 2183-2205, September.
    9. An, Shi & Cui, Na & Li, Xiaopeng & Ouyang, Yanfeng, 2013. "Location planning for transit-based evacuation under the risk of service disruptions," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 1-16.
    10. Jennifer M. Connolly & Casey Klofstad & Joseph Uscinski, 2020. "Leaving home ain’t easy: Citizen compliance with local government hurricane evacuation orders," Journal of Behavioral Public Administration, Center for Experimental and Behavioral Public Administration, vol. 3(2).
    11. Ibraheem M. Karaye & Courtney Thompson & Maria Perez‐Patron & Nicholas Taylor & Jennifer A. Horney, 2020. "Estimating Evacuation Shelter Deficits in the Houston–Galveston Metropolitan Area," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(5), pages 1079-1091, May.
    12. Rambha, Tarun & Nozick, Linda K. & Davidson, Rachel, 2021. "Modeling hurricane evacuation behavior using a dynamic discrete choice framework," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 75-100.
    13. Eva D. Regnier & Cameron A. MacKenzie, 2019. "The Hurricane Decision Simulator: A Tool for Marine Forces in New Orleans to Practice Operations Management in Advance of a Hurricane," Service Science, INFORMS, vol. 21(1), pages 103-120, January.
    14. Dongkwan Lee & Soyeon Yoon & Eun-Seon Park & Yuseung Kim & D.K. Yoon, 2018. "Factors Contributing to Disaster Evacuation: The Case of South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-16, October.
    15. Md Tawfiq Sarwar & Panagiotis Ch. Anastasopoulos & Satish V. Ukkusuri & Pamela Murray-Tuite & Fred L. Mannering, 2018. "A statistical analysis of the dynamics of household hurricane-evacuation decisions," Transportation, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 51-70, January.
    16. Dian Sun & Jee Eun Kang & Rajan Batta & Yan Song, 2017. "Optimization of Evacuation Warnings Prior to a Hurricane Disaster," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-29, November.
    17. Anyidoho, Prosper K. & Davidson, Rachel A. & Rambha, Tarun & Nozick, Linda K., 2022. "Prediction of population behavior in hurricane evacuations," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 200-221.
    18. Ibraheem M. Karaye & Jennifer A. Horney & David P. Retchless & Ashley D. Ross, 2019. "Determinants of Hurricane Evacuation from a Large Representative Sample of the U.S. Gulf Coast," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(21), pages 1-10, November.
    19. Stephen D. Wong & Joan L. Walker & Susan A. Shaheen, 0. "Bridging the gap between evacuations and the sharing economy," Transportation, Springer, vol. 0, pages 1-50.
    20. Jorge Villegas & Corene Matyas & Sivaramakrishnan Srinivasan & Ignatius Cahyanto & Brijesh Thapa & Lori Pennington-Gray, 2013. "Cognitive and affective responses of Florida tourists after exposure to hurricane warning messages," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 66(1), pages 97-116, March.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:37:y:2017:i:4:p:812-839. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://doi.org/10.1111/(ISSN)1539-6924 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.