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Evacuation from Natural Disasters: A Systematic Review of the Literature

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  • Rebecca R. Thompson
  • Dana Rose Garfin
  • Roxane Cohen Silver

Abstract

Research on evacuation from natural disasters has been published across the peer‐reviewed literature among several disparate disciplinary outlets and has suggested a wide variety of predictors of evacuation behavior. We conducted a systematic review to summarize and evaluate the current literature on demographic, storm‐related, and psychosocial correlates of natural disaster evacuation behavior. Eighty‐three eligible papers utilizing 83 independent samples were identified. Risk perception was a consistent positive predictor of evacuation, as were several demographic indicators, prior evacuation behavior, and having an evacuation plan. The influence of prior experiences, self‐efficacy, personality, and links between expected and actual behavior were examined less frequently. Prospective, longitudinal designs are relatively uncommon. Although difficult to conduct in postdisaster settings, more prospective, methodologically rigorous studies would bolster inferences. Results synthesize the current body of literature on evacuation behavior and can help inform the design of more effective predisaster evacuation warnings and procedures.

Suggested Citation

  • Rebecca R. Thompson & Dana Rose Garfin & Roxane Cohen Silver, 2017. "Evacuation from Natural Disasters: A Systematic Review of the Literature," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(4), pages 812-839, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:37:y:2017:i:4:p:812-839
    DOI: 10.1111/risa.12654
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    1. Anyidoho, Prosper K. & Davidson, Rachel A. & Rambha, Tarun & Nozick, Linda K., 2022. "Prediction of population behavior in hurricane evacuations," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 200-221.
    2. Alexa Tanner & Ryan Reynolds, 2020. "The near-miss of a tsunami and an emergency evacuation: the post-exposure effects on future emergency preparedness and evacuation intentions," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(2), pages 1679-1693, November.
    3. Guy Wachtel & Jan-Dirk Schmöcker & Yuval Hadas & Yuhan Gao & Oren E Nahum & Boaz Ben-Moshe, 2021. "Planning for tourist urban evacuation routes: A framework for improving the data collection and evacuation processes," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 48(5), pages 1108-1125, June.
    4. Ibraheem M. Karaye & Jennifer A. Horney & David P. Retchless & Ashley D. Ross, 2019. "Determinants of Hurricane Evacuation from a Large Representative Sample of the U.S. Gulf Coast," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(21), pages 1-10, November.
    5. Kerstin K. Zander & Stephen T. Garnett & Harald Sterly & Sonja Ayeb-Karlsson & Barbora Šedová & Hermann Lotze-Campen & Carmen Richerzhagen & Hunter S. Baggen, 2022. "Topic modelling exposes disciplinary divergence in research on the nexus between human mobility and the environment," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-9, December.
    6. Natalie M. Scala & Allison C. Reilly & Paul L. Goethals & Michel Cukier, 2019. "Risk and the Five Hard Problems of Cybersecurity," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(10), pages 2119-2126, October.
    7. Zhao-ge Liu & Xiang-yang Li & Dilawar Khan Durrani, 2021. "Generating evacuation task plans for community typhoon emergencies: an integration of case-driven and model-driven approaches," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 745-774, March.
    8. Seungil Yum, 2023. "Analyses of human responses to Winter storm Kai using the GWR model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(2), pages 1805-1821, March.
    9. Amy Cardinal Christianson & Tara K. McGee, 2019. "Wildfire evacuation experiences of band members of Whitefish Lake First Nation 459, Alberta, Canada," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 98(1), pages 9-29, August.
    10. David Marasco & Pamela Murray-Tuite & Seth Guikema & Tom Logan, 2020. "Time to leave: an analysis of travel times during the approach and landfall of Hurricane Irma," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(2), pages 2459-2487, September.
    11. Jenna Tyler & Abdul-Akeem Sadiq & Douglas S. Noonan, 2019. "A review of the community flood risk management literature in the USA: lessons for improving community resilience to floods," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 96(3), pages 1223-1248, April.
    12. Krutein, Klaas Fiete & Goodchild, Anne, 2022. "The isolated community evacuation problem with mixed integer programming," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    13. Peng Liu & Run Yang & Zhigang Xu, 2019. "How Safe Is Safe Enough for Self‐Driving Vehicles?," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(2), pages 315-325, February.
    14. Chen Qing & Shili Guo & Xin Deng & Wei Wang & Jiahao Song & Dingde Xu, 2022. "Stay in Risk Area: Place Attachment, Efficacy Beliefs and Risk Coping," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(4), pages 1-19, February.
    15. Dominic Balog‐Way & Katherine McComas & John Besley, 2020. "The Evolving Field of Risk Communication," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(S1), pages 2240-2262, November.
    16. Emmanuel Tolulope Busayo & Ahmed Mukalazi Kalumba, 2020. "Coastal Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk Reduction: A Review of Policy, Programme and Practice for Sustainable Planning Outcomes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-16, August.
    17. Matti, Stephanie & Ögmundardóttir, Helga & Aðalgeirsdóttir, Guðfinna & Reichardt, Uta, 2022. "Psychosocial response to a no-build zone: Managing landslide risk in Iceland," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).

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