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Weltwirtschaft durch EU-Austritt Großbritanniens kaum beeinträchtigt. Mittelfristige Prognose bis 2021


  • Stefan Schiman


Das Weltwirtschaftswachstum beschleunigt sich mittelfristig nur leicht. Zügig expandieren wird die Wirtschaft auf Basis einer robusten Binnennachfrage und einer zunehmenden Erwerbsbevölkerung in den USA. Im Euro-Raum verläuft die Expansion langsamer, da die institutionellen Mängel der Währungsunion die Erwartungen dämpfen und die Erwerbsbevölkerung stagniert. Der EU-Austritt Großbritanniens wird vor allem die britische Wirtschaft selbst treffen, weniger deren Handelspartner. Die Zugkraft des Wachstums in den Schwellenländern lässt weiter nach. In China verlangsamt es sich, in Russland und Brasilien erholt sich die Konjunktur aufgrund der niedrigen Rohstoffpreise nur schleppend aus der aktuellen Krise.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Schiman, 2016. "Weltwirtschaft durch EU-Austritt Großbritanniens kaum beeinträchtigt. Mittelfristige Prognose bis 2021," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 89(10), pages 717-727, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2016:i:10:p:717-727
    Note: With English abstract.

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Li, Kui-Wai, 2016. "A Political Economy to Examine Brexit," MPRA Paper 74172, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Baker, Jessica & Carreras, Oriol & Kirby, Simon & Meaning, Jack & Piggott, Rebecca, 2016. "Modelling events: The short-term economic impact of leaving the EU," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 339-350.
    3. Jakob Miethe & David Pothier, 2016. "Brexit: Was steht für den britischen Finanzsektor auf dem Spiel?," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 83(31), pages 681-690.
    4. Paul J. J. Welfens, 2016. "Editorial on the BREXIT Forum," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 13(4), pages 519-522, October.
    5. Shekhar Aiyar & Bergljot B Barkbu & Nicoletta Batini & Helge Berger & Enrica Detragiache & Allan Dizioli & Christian H Ebeke & Huidan Huidan Lin & Linda Kaltani & Sebastian Sosa & Antonio Spilimbergo , 2016. "The Refugee Surge in Europe; Economic Challenges," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 16/2, International Monetary Fund.
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    1. Josef Baumgartner & Sandra Bilek-Steindl & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik, 2016. "Moderate Economic Growth – Unemployment Remaining High. Medium-term Forecast for the Austrian Economy Until 2021," WIFO Bulletin, WIFO, vol. 21(19), pages 185-201, December.

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    Mittelfristige Prognose; Weltwirtschaft;


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