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Industry Composition and the Effects of Exchange Rates on Exports - Why Switzerland is Special:

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  • Raphael Auer
  • Philip Saure

Abstract

We identify the role of industrial composition on the elasticity of aggregate export volume with respect to the exchange rate. In an annual panel covering the time from 1972 to 2000, 865 sectors, and bilateral trade flows between 24 OECD economies, we estimate sectoral elasticities of export volume with respect to the exchange rate. We then combine the resulting 865 elasticity estimates with the weight of each sector in each of the countries' export basket. The resulting country-specific average exchange rate elasticity varies substantially as countries specialize in very different sectors. It ranges from 0.83 for Switzerland to 1.06 inTurkey, with the average being 0.94. Consequently, our results demonstrate that the low response of Swiss export performance to the strong real appreciation of the Swiss Franc observed during 2008 to 2011 can partly be explained by the unique industrial composition of the Swiss economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Raphael Auer & Philip Saure, 2011. "Industry Composition and the Effects of Exchange Rates on Exports - Why Switzerland is Special:," Aussenwirtschaft, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, Swiss Institute for International Economics and Applied Economics Research, vol. 66(03), pages 323-338, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:usg:auswrt:2011:66:03:323-338
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christian Broda & David E. Weinstein, 2006. "Globalization and the Gains From Variety," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 121(2), pages 541-585.
    2. James E. Anderson & Eric van Wincoop, 2003. "Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution to the Border Puzzle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 170-192, March.
    3. Feenstra, Robert C, 1994. "New Product Varieties and the Measurement of International Prices," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(1), pages 157-177, March.
    4. Wilson, John F & Takacs, Wendy E, 1979. "Differential Responses to Price and Exchange Rate Influences in the Foreign Trade of Selected Industrial Countries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 61(2), pages 267-279, May.
    5. Krugman, Paul, 1989. "Differences in income elasticities and trends in real exchange rates," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 1031-1046, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Raphael Auer & Philip Saur�, 2012. "CHF strength and Swiss export performance -- evidence and outlook from a disaggregate analysis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(6), pages 521-531, April.
    2. Philip Sauré, 2015. "The Resilient Trade Surplus, the Pharmaceutical Sector, and Exchange Rate Assessments in Switzerland," Working Paper Series WP15-11, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    3. Mark A. Wynne, 2012. "Five Years of Research on Globalization and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned?," Annual Report, Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, pages 2-17.
    4. Matthias Flückiger & Christian Rutzer & Rolf Weder, 2016. "Die Schweizer Wirtschaft zwischen Hammer und Amboss: Eine Analyse der "Franken-Schocks" 2010/11 und 2015," Aussenwirtschaft, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, Swiss Institute for International Economics and Applied Economics Research, vol. 67(03), pages 95-133, December.
    5. Sauré, Philip, 2017. "Time-intensive R&D and unbalanced trade," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 229-244.
    6. Peter H. Egger & Johannes Schwarzer & Anirudh Shingal, 2018. "Labour market effects of currency appreciation: The case of Switzerland," RSCAS Working Papers 2018/30, European University Institute.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rates; External adjustment; Trade elasticity; Export basket; Industry structure; Switzerland;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation

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