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Nowcasting of Economic Development Indicators Using the NBU's Business Survey Results

Author

Listed:
  • Roman Lysenko

    (National Bank of Ukraine)

  • Nataliia Kolesnichenko

    (National Bank of Ukraine)

Abstract

The article was devoted to the research of possibilities to use Business Outlook Survey results, which are carried out by National Bank of Ukraine, for the short-term forecasting of economic development, in particular, the Gross Domestic Product of Ukraine. The different methods of building of the leading index of economic development, their advantages, and their restrictions are examined. The choice of the best index, which provides for the higher accuracy of forecasting the GDP, is carried out with the use of econometric models.

Suggested Citation

  • Roman Lysenko & Nataliia Kolesnichenko, 2016. "Nowcasting of Economic Development Indicators Using the NBU's Business Survey Results," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 235, pages 43-56.
    • Handle: RePEc:ukb:journl:y:2016:i:236:p:43-56
    DOI: 10.26531/vnbu2016.235.043
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    2. Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2005. "Leading Indicators for Euro‐area Inflation and GDP Growth," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(s1), pages 785-813, December.
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General

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