IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/specan/v18y2023i3p292-317.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Diffusion of crime control benefits: forced eradication and coca crops in Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Eleonora Dávalos
  • Leonardo Fabio Morales

Abstract

One explanation for the increasing number of hectares of coca is that eradication strategies displace coca crops but fail to completely clear affected areas. In the drug policy literature, that dynamic shifting is commonly known as the balloon effect. This study integrates georeferenced agricultural data through spatially explicit econometric models to test the hypothesis that forced eradication displaces coca crops. Using annual data for 1116 contiguous municipalities in Colombia, we estimate a spatial Durbin error model. Our results suggest that, on average, aerial fumigation in a municipality diffuses the benefits of this crime control strategy to neighbouring municipalities.

Suggested Citation

  • Eleonora Dávalos & Leonardo Fabio Morales, 2023. "Diffusion of crime control benefits: forced eradication and coca crops in Colombia," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(3), pages 292-317, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:specan:v:18:y:2023:i:3:p:292-317
    DOI: 10.1080/17421772.2022.2151642
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/17421772.2022.2151642
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/17421772.2022.2151642?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Daniel Mejía & Pascual Restrepo & Sandra V. Rozo, 2017. "On the Effects of Enforcement on Illegal Markets: Evidence from a Quasi-Experiment in Colombia," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 31(2), pages 570-594.
    2. Camacho, Adriana & Mejía, Daniel, 2017. "The health consequences of aerial spraying illicit crops: The case of Colombia," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 147-160.
    3. Moreno-Sanchez, Rocio & Kraybill, David S. & Thompson, Stanley R., 2003. "An Econometric Analysis of Coca Eradication Policy in Colombia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 375-383, February.
    4. Anselin, Luc & Bera, Anil K. & Florax, Raymond & Yoon, Mann J., 1996. "Simple diagnostic tests for spatial dependence," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 77-104, February.
    5. James P. Lesage, 2008. "An Introduction to Spatial Econometrics," Revue d'économie industrielle, De Boeck Université, vol. 0(3), pages 19-44.
    6. Hubert Jayet & Julie Le Gallo & Luc Anselin, 2008. "Spatial Econometrics and Panel Data Models," Post-Print hal-02389412, HAL.
    7. Suren Basov & Mireille Jacobson & Jeffrey A. Miron, 2001. "Prohibition and the Market for Illegal Drugs," World Economics, World Economics, 1 Ivory Square, Plantation Wharf, London, United Kingdom, SW11 3UE, vol. 2(4), pages 133-157, October.
    8. J. Paul Elhorst, 2003. "Specification and Estimation of Spatial Panel Data Models," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 26(3), pages 244-268, July.
    9. J. Elhorst, 2010. "Applied Spatial Econometrics: Raising the Bar," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 9-28.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Eleonora Dávalos & Leonardo Fabio Morales, 2019. "Is there a balloon effect? Coca crops and forced eradication in Colombia," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 17350, Universidad EAFIT.
    2. Ahmad, Mahyudin & Siong Hook, Law, 2022. "Financial development, institutions, and economic growth nexus: A spatial econometrics analysis using geographical and institutional proximities," MPRA Paper 114471, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Juan Pablo Cote, 2019. "The Effect of Interdiction on Coca Cultivation in Colombia," Documentos CEDE 17316, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    4. Emediegwu, Lotanna E. & Wossink, Ada & Hall, Alastair, 2022. "The impacts of climate change on agriculture in sub-Saharan Africa: A spatial panel data approach," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    5. Ahmad, Mahyudin & Hall, Stephen G. & Law, Siong Hook & Nayan, Sabri, 2023. "The spillover effects of financial development and institutions on economic growth in emerging economies: new insights from spatial Durbin approach," MPRA Paper 118966, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Coro Chasco & Maricruz Lacalle-Calderon & Javier Alfonso-Gil, 2021. "Spatial Diffusion of Civil Liberty," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, vol. 44(87), pages 146-169.
    7. Beatrice CAMAIONI & Roberto ESPOSTI & Francesco PAGLIACCI & Franco SOTTE, 2014. "How does space affect the allocation of the EU rural development policy's expenditure? An econometric assessment," Working Papers 399, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
    8. J. Paul Elhorst, 2014. "Matlab Software for Spatial Panels," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 37(3), pages 389-405, July.
    9. Muñoz-Mora, Juan Carlos & Tobón, Santiago & d’Anjou, Jesse Willem, 2018. "The role of land property rights in the war on illicit crops: Evidence from Colombia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 268-283.
    10. Chica-Olmo, Jorge & Sari-Hassoun, Salaheddine & Moya-Fernández, Pablo, 2020. "Spatial relationship between economic growth and renewable energy consumption in 26 European countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    11. Amarin Siripanich & Taha Hossein Rashidi & Emily Moylan, 2019. "Interaction of Public Transport Accessibility and Residential Property Values Using Smart Card Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-24, May.
    12. Ahmad, Mahyudin & Hall, Stephen G., 2017. "Economic growth and convergence: Do institutional proximity and spillovers matter?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 1065-1085.
    13. Roger Bivand & Giovanni Millo & Gianfranco Piras, 2021. "A Review of Software for Spatial Econometrics in R," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-40, June.
    14. Fernando López & Jesús Mur & Ana Angulo, 2014. "Spatial model selection strategies in a SUR framework. The case of regional productivity in EU," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 53(1), pages 197-220, August.
    15. Adjin, K. Christophe & Henning, Christian H. C. A., 2019. "Farmers organizations and food availability in Senegal: An impact analysis using a spatial econometrics approach," Working Papers of Agricultural Policy WP2019-07, University of Kiel, Department of Agricultural Economics, Chair of Agricultural Policy.
    16. Redoano, Michela, 2014. "Tax competition among European countries. Does the EU matter?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 353-371.
    17. Herrera Gomez Marcos & Fernández Pablo, 2023. "Regresiones SUR Espaciales. Análisis espacio-temporal del empleo sectorial en Argentina," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4660, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    18. Hasan Engin Duran & Burak Dindaroğlu, 2021. "Regional inflation persistence in Turkey," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(1), pages 460-491, March.
    19. Raffaella Santolini, 2020. "Spatial effects on local government efficiency," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 99(1), pages 183-200, February.
    20. Michaela Fuchs, 2016. "Unemployment decline in East Germany: the role of demography," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 36(2), pages 145-168, October.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R14 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Land Use Patterns

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:specan:v:18:y:2023:i:3:p:292-317. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/RSEA20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.