IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/macfem/v2y2009i2p189-214.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Macro-economic management of the Indian economy: capital flows, interest rates, and inflation

Author

Listed:
  • Arvind Virmani

Abstract

This paper addresses the issue of surge in capital inflows into a relatively open emerging economy. One of the constraints in dealing with surges is that much of the theoretical analysis is motivated by developed economies with well developed capital and money markets, while emerging economies are characterised by missing market segments and incomplete integration of such markets. It tries to use the existing literature and empirical information on the concerned economy to derive practical policy suggestions for meeting and balancing the objectives of inflation control and sustained growth. One of the noteworthy recommendations is the introduction of an auctioning mechanism for the right to incur foreign debt. This is designed to correct or compensate for the negative externalities arising from such cross-border debt, given the possibility of sharp reversals arising from global external developments and global shocks. The auction of rights to borrow can act as a variable tax that taxes short term flows at a higher rate and adjusts to changing environment. A limited version of such auctions has been tried sucessfully under the supervision of the Securities and Exchange Board of India. The global environment that gave rise to this issue in India has changed dramatically the US financial crisis and global recession. The analysis however, stands and may be useful when the global situation returns to normal and another emerging economy is faced with a similar situation.

Suggested Citation

  • Arvind Virmani, 2009. "Macro-economic management of the Indian economy: capital flows, interest rates, and inflation," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(2), pages 189-214.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:macfem:v:2:y:2009:i:2:p:189-214
    DOI: 10.1080/17520840902726482
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/17520840902726482
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/17520840902726482?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ofair Razin & Susan M. Collins, 1997. "Real Exchange Rate Misalignments and Growth," International Finance 9707001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Vipul Bhatt & Arvind Virmani, 2005. "Global integration of India's Money Market : Interest rate parity in India," Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi Working Papers 164, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi, India.
    3. Ricardo Faria, Joao & Leon-Ledesma, Miguel, 2003. "Testing the Balassa-Samuelson effect: Implications for growth and the PPP," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 241-253, June.
    4. Arvind Virmani, 2006. "India's Economic Growth History: Fluctuations, Trends, Break Points and Phases," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 41(1), pages 81-103, July.
    5. Ofair Razin & Susan M. Collins, 1997. "Real Exchange Rate Misalignments and Growth," NBER Working Papers 6174, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Arvind Virmani, 2011. "The Dynamics of Competition: Phasing of Domestic and External Liberalisation in India," Working Papers id:3556, eSocialSciences.
    7. Arvind Virmani, 2005. "Policy regimes, growth and poverty in India : Lessons of government failure and entrepreneurial success," Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi Working Papers 170, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi, India.
    8. Ajay Shah & Ila Patnaik, 2007. "India's Experience with Capital Flows: The Elusive Quest for a Sustainable Current Account Deficit," NBER Chapters, in: Capital Controls and Capital Flows in Emerging Economies: Policies, Practices, and Consequences, pages 609-644, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Arvind Virmani & B.N.Goldar & C.Veeramani & Vipul Bhatt, 2004. "Impact of tariff reforms on Indian industry: Assessment based on a mutli-sector econometric model," Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi Working Papers 135, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi, India.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. M. Govinda Rao & Sen, Tapas Kumar & Jena, Pratap R., 2008. "Issues before the thirteenth finance commission," Working Papers 08/55, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    2. Masood, Tariq & Ahmad, Mohd. Izhar, 2009. "Macroeconomic Implications of Capital Inflows in India," MPRA Paper 19299, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Oct 2009.
    3. Gargi Sanati, 2010. "Integration of India’s Financial Markets on the Domestic and International Fronts: An Emperical Analysis of the Post-Liberalisation Period. June 2010," Working Papers id:3097, eSocialSciences.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bagella, Michele & Becchetti, Leonardo & Hasan, Iftekhar, 2004. "The anticipated and concurring effects of the EMU: exchange rate volatility, institutions and growth," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(7-8), pages 1053-1080.
    2. Ronald MacDonald & Flávio Vieira, "undated". "A panel data investigation of real exchange rate misalignment and growth," Working Papers 2010_13, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    3. Alfredo Pistelli & Jorge Selaive & Rodrigo O. Valdés, 2008. "Stocks, Flows, and Valuation Effects of Foreign Assets and Liabilities: Do They Matter?," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Kevin Cowan & Sebastián Edwards & Rodrigo O. Valdés & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt- (ed.),Current Account and External Financing, edition 1, volume 12, chapter 7, pages 237-277, Central Bank of Chile.
    4. James Riedel, 2018. "The costs and benefits of exchange rate protection in China," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 32(1), pages 3-17, May.
    5. Du, Qingyuan & Wei, Shang-Jin, 2016. "A Darwinian perspective on “exchange rate undervaluation”," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 111-138.
    6. Morvillier, Florian, 2020. "Do currency undervaluations affect the impact of inflation on growth?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 275-292.
    7. Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos & Feijó, Carmem & Araújo, Eliane Cristina, 2025. "The determination of the exchange rate: A new-developmental approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 245-255.
    8. Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos, 2009. "A tendência à sobreapreciação da taxa de câmbio," Textos para discussão 183, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
    9. Couharde, Cécile & Sallenave, Audrey, 2013. "How do currency misalignments’ threshold affect economic growth?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 106-120.
    10. Rafael S. M. Ribeiro & John S. L. McCombie & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2016. "Exchange Rate, Income Distribution and Technical Change in a Balance-of-Payments Constrained Growth Model," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 545-565, October.
    11. Dubas, Justin, 2012. "Exchange Rate Misalignment and Economic Growth," MPRA Paper 63417, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Blaise Gnimassoun, 2017. "Exchange rate misalignments and the external balance under a pegged currency system," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(5), pages 949-974, November.
    13. Bouzid Amaira, 2021. "Real Effective Exchange Rate Misalignment of the Tunisian dinar," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 24(80), pages 2-23, June.
    14. Damir Novotny, 2011. "Promjena paradigme u vo?enju ekonomske politike i strukturne promjene kao temeljne pretpostavke održivog rasta hrvatskog gospodarstva," Ekonomija Economics, Rifin d.o.o., vol. 18(2), pages 313-328.
    15. Audrey Sallenave, 2010. "Real exchange rate misalignments and economic performance for the G20 countries," EconomiX Working Papers 2010-1, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    16. Habib, Maurizio Michael & Mileva, Elitza & Stracca, Livio, 2017. "The real exchange rate and economic growth: Revisiting the case using external instruments," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PB), pages 386-398.
    17. Alexandre Henry, 2019. "Monetary Union, Competitiveness and Raw Commodity Dependence: Insights from Africa," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 61(2), pages 285-301, June.
    18. n.a.m, Naseem & m.s, Hamizah, 2013. "Exchange Rate Misalignment and Economic Growth: Recent Evidence in Malaysia," MPRA Paper 52447, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Duban F. Pena & Jaime Flórez Bolanos, 2006. "Integración Monetaria: Una Aproximación para Colombia, Ecuador, Perú y Venezuela," Revista de Economía y Administración, Universidad Autónoma de Occidente, March.
    20. Mr. Andrew Berg & Yanliang Miao, 2010. "The Real Exchange Rate and Growth Revisited: The Washington Consensus Strikes Back?," IMF Working Papers 2010/058, International Monetary Fund.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:macfem:v:2:y:2009:i:2:p:189-214. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/REME20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.