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Volatility of Short-term Capital Flows and Private Investment in Emerging Markets


  • Firat Demir


Using micro-level panel data, the paper analyses the impacts of short-term capital flow volatility on new fixed investment spending of publicly traded real sector firms in three major emerging markets - Argentina, Mexico and Turkey. The empirical results, including sensitivity tests, suggest that increasing volatility of capital inflows has an economically and statistically significant negative effect on new investment spending of private firms. Accordingly, a 10 per cent increase in capital flow volatility reduces fixed investment spending in the range of 1-1.7, 2.3-15, and 1 per cent in Argentina, Mexico and Turkey respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Firat Demir, 2009. "Volatility of Short-term Capital Flows and Private Investment in Emerging Markets," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(5), pages 672-692.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:jdevst:v:45:y:2009:i:5:p:672-692
    DOI: 10.1080/00220380802582379

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Daniela Gabor, 2011. "Paradigm shift? A critique of the IMF’s new approach to capital controls," Working Papers 1109, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol.
    2. Daniela Gabor, 2012. "Managing Capital Accounts in Emerging Markets: Lessons from the Global Financial Crisis," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(6), pages 714-731, June.
    3. Keskinsoy, Bilal, 2017. "Taxi, Takeoff and Landing: Behavioural Patterns of Capital Flows to Emerging Markets," MPRA Paper 78129, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Yung, Kenneth & Li, DeQing Diane & Jian, Yi, 2015. "The value of corporate financial flexibility in emerging countries," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 32, pages 25-41.
    5. repec:eee:riibaf:v:42:y:2017:i:c:p:312-320 is not listed on IDEAS

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