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Stability of money demand function revisited in China

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  • Chien-Chiang Lee
  • Mei-Se Chien

Abstract

As China's economic reforms have undergone significant structural changes after 1979, it has been rather difficult to formulate a stable money demand function over the period following that year. While previous literature on the long-run relationship of money demand in China shows the existence of stable money demand, this article revisits the stability of the China money demand function over the period after 1979. To employ the unit root tests and the cointegration tests with structural break, the empirical evidence demonstrates that economic and financial deregulation did affect the stability of demand for money in China over the period 1977 to 2002. Moreover, the estimated long-run income and interest elasticity are respectively 1.01 (1.11) and -0.14 (-0.08) using the real M1 (M2) equation. In addition, real income and the interest rate are found to be weakly exogenous. We overall do find structural breakpoints mainly in 1980 and 1993, and they look to match clearly with corresponding critical financial and economic incidents.

Suggested Citation

  • Chien-Chiang Lee & Mei-Se Chien, 2008. "Stability of money demand function revisited in China," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(24), pages 3185-3197.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:24:p:3185-3197
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994153
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Davidson, Russell & MacKinnon, James G., 1993. "Estimation and Inference in Econometrics," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195060119.
    2. Mr. Gyorgy Szapary & Mr. Steven V Dunaway & Mr. David Burton & Mr. Mario I. Bléjer, 1991. "China: Economic Reform and Macroeconomic Management," IMF Occasional Papers 1991/007, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nidhal Mgadmi & Helmi Hamdi & Houssem Rachdi, 2016. "Non-Linear Modelling of Money Demand in Tunisia: Evidence from the STAR Model," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(4), pages 1975-1985.
    2. Chien-Chiang Lee & An-Hsing Chang, 2013. "Revisiting the demand for money function: evidence from the random coefficients approach," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(9), pages 1491-1502, September.
    3. Helmi Hamdi & Ali Said & Rashid Sbia, 2015. "Empirical Evidence on the Long-Run Money Demand Function in the Gulf Cooperation Council Countries," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(2), pages 603-612.
    4. Rao, B. Bhaskara & Tamazian, Artur & Singh, Prakash, 2009. "Demand for Money in the Asian Countries: A Systems GMM Panel Data Approach and Structural Breaks," MPRA Paper 15030, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Wan, Jianjun & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2023. "Corporate investment and the dilemma of the monetary policy: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 106-121.
    6. K. Azim Özdemir & Mesut Saygılı, 2013. "Economic uncertainty and money demand stability in Turkey," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 40(3), pages 314-333, July.
    7. Akhand Akhtar Hossain, 2015. "The Evolution of Central Banking and Monetary Policy in the Asia-Pacific," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 14611.
    8. Chen-Huan Shieh & Shou-Hsiang Liu & Chung-Ching Lee, 2017. "How Stable is the Money Demand in Taiwan?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 3(5), pages 54-64, 05-2017.
    9. Anne laure Delatte & Julien Fouquau, 2010. "Smooth transition in China: New evidence in the cointegrating money demand relationship," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 30(1), pages 265-273.
    10. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:30:y:2010:i:1:p:265-273 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Dan Xi & Sahar Bahmani, 2016. "Asymmetric effects of exchange rate changes on the demand for money in China," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(15), pages 1104-1109, October.
    12. Delatte, Anne-Laure & Holz, Carsten, 2013. "Understanding Money Demand in the Transition from a Centrally Planned to a Market Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers 9721, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    13. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Mohd, Siti Hamizah & Mansur M. Masih, A., 2009. "The stability of money demand in China: Evidence from the ARDL model," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 231-244, September.

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