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Utility-Based Valuation and Hedging of Basis Risk With Partial Information

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  • Michael Monoyios

Abstract

We analyse the valuation and hedging of a claim on a non-traded asset using a correlated traded asset under a partial information scenario, when the asset drifts are unknown constants. Using a Kalman filter and a Gaussian prior distribution for the unknown parameters, a full information model with random drifts is obtained. This is subjected to exponential indifference valuation. An expression for the optimal hedging strategy is derived. An asymptotic expansion for small values of risk aversion is obtained via partial differentiation equation (PDE) methods, following on from payoff decompositions and a price representation equation. Analytic and semi-analytic formulae for the terms in the expansion are obtained when the minimal entropy measure coincides with the minimal martingale measure. Simulation experiments are carried out which indicate that the filtering procedure can be beneficial in hedging, but sometimes needs to be augmented with the increased option premium, which takes into account parameter uncertainty in order to be effective. Empirical examples are presented which conform to these conclusions.

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  • Michael Monoyios, 2010. "Utility-Based Valuation and Hedging of Basis Risk With Partial Information," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(6), pages 519-551.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apmtfi:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:519-551
    DOI: 10.1080/13504861003650883
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hardy Hulley & Thomas A. McWalter, 2015. "Quadratic Hedging of Basis Risk," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-20, February.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Michael Monoyios, 2012. "Malliavin calculus method for asymptotic expansion of dual control problems," Papers 1209.6497, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2013.
    2. Hardy Hulley & Thomas A. McWalter, 2015. "Quadratic Hedging of Basis Risk," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-20, February.
    3. Mahan Tahvildari, 2021. "Forward indifference valuation and hedging of basis risk under partial information," Papers 2101.00251, arXiv.org.
    4. Claudia Ceci & Katia Colaneri & Alessandra Cretarola, 2018. "Indifference pricing of pure endowments via BSDEs under partial information," Papers 1804.00223, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2020.
    5. Bauer Jan, 2020. "Hedging of Variable Annuities under Basis Risk," Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance, De Gruyter, vol. 14(2), pages 1-34, July.
    6. Thorsten Rheinländer & Jenny Sexton, 2011. "Hedging Derivatives," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 8062, January.
    7. Reisinger, C., 2018. "The non-locality of Markov chain approximations to two-dimensional diffusions," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 176-185.

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