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An empirical analysis of structural models of corporate debt pricing

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  • Joao Teixeira

Abstract

This article tests empirically the performance of three structural models of corporate bond pricing, namely Merton (1974), Leland (1994) and Fan and Sundaresan (2000). While the first two models overestimate bond prices, the Fan and Sundaresan model exhibits an impressively good performance. When considering the prediction of credit spreads, the three models underestimate market spreads but, again, Fan and Sundaresan performs better. We find rating, maturity and asset volatility effects in the prediction power, as the models underestimate less the spreads of riskier firms and of bonds with better rating quality and longer maturity. Moreover, our results reveal the existence of a new industry effect. Spread errors are systematically related to some bond- and firm-specific variables, as well as term structure variables.

Suggested Citation

  • Joao Teixeira, 2007. "An empirical analysis of structural models of corporate debt pricing," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(14), pages 1141-1165.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:17:y:2007:i:14:p:1141-1165
    DOI: 10.1080/09603100600770994
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Chang, Sean Tat & Ross, Donald, 2016. "Debt covenants and credit spread valuation: The special case of Chinese global bonds," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 27-44.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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