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Pricing risky corporate bonds: An empirical study

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  • Belal Ehsan Baaquie
  • Muhammad Mahmudul Karim

Abstract

This paper empirically studies a model for pricing risky corporate bonds proposed by Baaquie—based on the seminal Merton. The proposed model provides an exact solution for the price of a risky corporate bond with a finite maturity and explains the market price of corporate fixed coupon bonds as being the result of the market risk that is carried by the bond. Baaquie's model is empirically tested using 42 fixed coupon bonds issued by 23 US corporations, between 2011 and 2017. It is found that the proposed model estimates most bond prices quite accurately. Market time (similar to the concept of psychological time), which is distinct from calendar time, is quantified in the paper and is an exogenous behavioral parameter that plays a pivotal role in improving the accuracy of the pricing model for long‐maturity risky bonds.

Suggested Citation

  • Belal Ehsan Baaquie & Muhammad Mahmudul Karim, 2023. "Pricing risky corporate bonds: An empirical study," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(1), pages 90-121, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:43:y:2023:i:1:p:90-121
    DOI: 10.1002/fut.22379
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    References listed on IDEAS

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