IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/minecn/v38y2025i3d10.1007_s13563-025-00532-8.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A qualitative evaluation of the differences in risk/reward profiles for project finance in the development of a typical porphyry copper deposit compared with a typical diamondiferous kimberlite deposit

Author

Listed:
  • Alexander Cunningham

    (University of Dundee)

Abstract

Project finance is becoming an increasingly popular tool in the mining sector as miners look for more alternative methods of funding extraction projects. Unlike traditional corporate finance, project finance allows borrowers to isolate debt to a specific project and insulate related corporate entities from the risks associated with developing a new deposit. This makes the risk reward profile of the project paramount from both a borrowing and a lending perspective. This paper considers how risk/reward profiles are derived and constrained for a typical porphyry copper deposit (PCD) project and a typical diamondiferous kimberlite deposit (DKD) project. Feasibility in terms of risk and reward is analysed for the four main stages of each hypothetical project (deposit, construction, production, final market/sale of commodity). It is concluded that there is a notably more constrained risk/reward profile for a PCD deposit than a DKD deposit. Despite DKD projects having greater upside potential, project finance for a PCD deposit is considered safer and therefore more favourable from the perspective of a lender.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexander Cunningham, 2025. "A qualitative evaluation of the differences in risk/reward profiles for project finance in the development of a typical porphyry copper deposit compared with a typical diamondiferous kimberlite deposi," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 38(3), pages 741-758, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:minecn:v:38:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s13563-025-00532-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s13563-025-00532-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s13563-025-00532-8
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s13563-025-00532-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dennis L Buchanan & Mark H. A. Davis, 2018. "Metals and Energy Project Appraisal and Finance," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Metals and Energy Finance Application of Quantitative Finance Techniques to the Evaluation of Minerals, Coal and Petroleum Projects, chapter 8, pages 159-187, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Alvarado, S & Maldonado, P & Barrios, A & Jaques, I, 2002. "Long term energy-related environmental issues of copper production," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 183-196.
    3. Webby Banda, 2019. "Economic analysis of Zambia’s ad valorem copper mineral royalty reforms using an analytic hierarchy process framework," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 32(1), pages 1-18, April.
    4. Marcelo Ochoa, 2013. "Volatility, labor heterogeneity and asset prices," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-71, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Costa Lima, Gabriel A. & Suslick, Saul B., 2006. "Estimating the volatility of mining projects considering price and operating cost uncertainties," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 86-94, June.
    6. Juan David González-Ruiz & Juan Camilo Mejia-Escobar & Giovanni Franco-Sepúlveda, 2021. "Towards an Understanding of Project Finance in the Mining Sector in the Sustainability Context: A Scientometric Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-27, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fthenakis, Vasilis & Wang, Wenming & Kim, Hyung Chul, 2009. "Life cycle inventory analysis of the production of metals used in photovoltaics," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 493-517, April.
    2. Rong, Yuen & Tian, Cunzhi & Li, Lifang & Zheng, Xinwei, 2020. "Labor hiring and stock return: A model and new evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    3. Correa, Juan A. & Gómez, Marcos & Luengo, Andrés & Parro, Francisco, 2021. "Environmental misallocation in the copper industry," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    4. Rojo-Suárez, Javier & Alonso-Conde, Ana B. & Gonzalez-Ruiz, Juan David, 2024. "Does sustainability improve financial performance? An analysis of Latin American oil and gas firms," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    5. Xiaoji Lin & Ding Luo & Andres Donangelo & Frederico Belo, 2017. "Labor Hiring, Aggregate Dividends, and Return Predictability in the Time Series," 2017 Meeting Papers 885, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Psimopoulos, Emmanouil & Bee, Elena & Widén, Joakim & Bales, Chris, 2019. "Techno-economic analysis of control algorithms for an exhaust air heat pump system for detached houses coupled to a photovoltaic system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C), pages 355-367.
    7. Sajid, Muhammad & Mushtaq, Rizwan & Murtaza, Ghulam & Yahiaoui, Dorra & Pereira, Vijay, 2024. "Financial literacy, confidence and well-being: The mediating role of financial behavior," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    8. Kaplan, Steven E. & Lee, Eugie Y., 2024. "Does tax reform affect labor investment efficiency?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    9. Sharma, Vanika & Haque, Mohammed H. & Aziz, Syed Mahfuzul, 2019. "Energy cost minimization for net zero energy homes through optimal sizing of battery storage system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 278-286.
    10. Frederico Belo & Jun Li & Xiaoji Lin & Xiaofei Zhao, 2017. "Labor-Force Heterogeneity and Asset Prices: The Importance of Skilled Labor," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(10), pages 3669-3709.
    11. Alexandre Garel & Arthur Petit-Romec, 2021. "Engaging Employees for the Long Run: Long-Term Investors and Employee-Related CSR," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 174(1), pages 35-63, November.
    12. Alexander Cunningham, 2024. "Assessing the feasibility of deep-seabed mining of polymetallic nodules in the Area of seabed and ocean floor beyond the limits of national jurisdiction, as a method of alleviating supply-side issues ," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 37(2), pages 207-226, June.
    13. Felipe Seabra d’Almeida & Roberto Bentes de Carvalho & Felipe Sombra dos Santos & Rodrigo Fernandes Magalhães de Souza, 2022. "Economic Analysis of a Conceptual Industrial Route for Printed Circuit Boards Processing Based on Mass and Energy Balances," World, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-15, July.
    14. Sebastian Ernst Volkmann & Felix Lehnen & Peter A. Kukla, 2019. "Estimating the economics of a mining project on seafloor manganese nodules," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 32(3), pages 287-306, November.
    15. Najdenov, Ivan & Raić, Karlo T. & Kokeza, Gordana, 2012. "Aspects of energy reduction by autogenous copper production in the copper smelting plant Bor," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 376-384.
    16. Lerede, D. & Bustreo, C. & Gracceva, F. & Saccone, M. & Savoldi, L., 2021. "Techno-economic and environmental characterization of industrial technologies for transparent bottom-up energy modeling," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    17. Haque, Md. Aminul & Topal, Erkan & Lilford, Eric, 2014. "A numerical study for a mining project using real options valuation under commodity price uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 115-123.
    18. Li, Nan & Wang, Song & Zhang, Kai, 2022. "Price options on investment project expansion under commodity price and volatility uncertainties using a novel finite difference method," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 421(C).
    19. Gruenhagen, Jan Henrik & Cox, Stephen & Parker, Rachel, 2022. "An actor-oriented perspective on innovation systems: Functional analysis of drivers and barriers to innovation and technology adoption in the mining sector," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    20. Lyons, Seán & Mao, Likun & Nolan, Anne & O’Sullivan, Vincent, 2023. "The effect of “smoky” coal bans on chronic lung disease among older people in Ireland," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:minecn:v:38:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s13563-025-00532-8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.