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A critical look at the Aumann-Serrano and Foster-Hart measures of riskiness

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  • Soo Hong Chew

    (Southwestern University of Finance and Economics
    National University of Singapore)

  • Jacob S. Sagi

    (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill)

Abstract

Hart (J Polit Econ, 119(4):617–638, 2011) argues that the Aumann and Serrano (J Polit Econ, 116(5): 810–836, 2008) and Foster and Hart (J Polit Econ, 117(5):785–814, 2009) measures of riskiness have an objective and universal appeal with respect to a subset of expected utility preferences, $${{\mathcal {U}}}_H$$ U H . We show that mean-riskiness decision-making criteria using either measure violate expected utility and are generally inconsistent with optimal portfolio choices made by investors with preferences in $${{\mathcal {U}}}_H$$ U H . We also demonstrate that riskiness measures satisfying Hart’s other behavioral requirements do not generally exist when his argument is generalized to incorporate non-expected utility preferences. Finally, we identify other attributes of the Aumann-Serrano and Foster-Hart measures that raise concerns over their operationalizability and usefulness in various decision making, risk management, and risk assessment settings.

Suggested Citation

  • Soo Hong Chew & Jacob S. Sagi, 2022. "A critical look at the Aumann-Serrano and Foster-Hart measures of riskiness," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 74(2), pages 397-422, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:joecth:v:74:y:2022:i:2:d:10.1007_s00199-022-01451-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s00199-022-01451-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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