IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/eurase/v14y2024i2d10.1007_s40822-024-00264-0.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

External debt and economic growth: moderating role of governance in South Asia Region

Author

Listed:
  • Umar Farooq

    (Xi’an Jiaotong University)

  • Adel Ahmed

    (Amity University Dubai, Dubai International Academic City)

  • Mosab I. Tabash

    (Al Ain University)

  • Mujeeb Saif Mohsen Al-Absy

    (Gulf University)

  • Yasmeen Elsantil

    (Tanta University)

Abstract

The current analysis explores the effect of external debt on economic growth and how better governance interacts with this relationship. For empirical assessment, we sample 20 years of data (2000–2019) of South Asian economies and consider the FMOLS and DOLS models to model the regression among the variables. The statistical analysis reveals a significant negative effect of both long- and short-term external debts, while governance has a significant positive effect on economic growth. In addition, the positive moderating role of governance was also observed in the nexus of external debt and economic growth. Enhancing governance can make external borrowing beneficial for economic progress. The empirical analysis posits multiple policies regarding the reduction of external borrowings, enhancement of the quality of governance, and effective utilization of external debt for development projects through better governance systems. By exploring the empirical relationship between external debt, governance, and economic growth, this study provides original evidence on how to enhance the utilization of external debt to ensure economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Umar Farooq & Adel Ahmed & Mosab I. Tabash & Mujeeb Saif Mohsen Al-Absy & Yasmeen Elsantil, 2024. "External debt and economic growth: moderating role of governance in South Asia Region," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 14(2), pages 339-360, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:eurase:v:14:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1007_s40822-024-00264-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s40822-024-00264-0
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s40822-024-00264-0
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s40822-024-00264-0?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nguyen Phuc Canh & Su Dinh Thanh, 2022. "The Dynamics of Export Diversification, Economic Complexity and Economic Growth Cycles: Global Evidence," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 57(3), pages 234-260, August.
    2. Raluca Maran, 2023. "Impact of macroprudential policy on economic growth in Indonesia: a growth-at-risk approach," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 13(3), pages 575-613, December.
    3. Qamar Abbas & Li Junqing & Muhammad Ramzan & Sumbal Fatima, 2021. "Role of Governance in Debt-Growth Relationship: Evidence from Panel Data Estimations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-19, May.
    4. Ibukun James Olaoye & Opeyemi Eyitayo Ayinde & Oluwafemi Olajide Ajewole & Luke Oloruntoba Adebisi, 2021. "The role of research and development (R&D) expenditure and governance on economic growth in selected African countries," African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(6), pages 663-670, September.
    5. Andrea F Presbitero, 2012. "Total Public Debt and Growth in Developing Countries," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 24(4), pages 606-626, September.
    6. Im, Kyung So & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 2003. "Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 53-74, July.
    7. Kharusi, Sami Al & Ada, Mbah Stella, 2018. "External Debt and Economic Growth : The Case of Emerging Economy," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 33(1), pages 1141-1157.
    8. Waliu Olawale Shittu & Sallahuddin Hassan & Muhammad Atif Nawaz, 2018. "The nexus between external debt, corruption and economic growth: evidence from five SSA countries," African Journal of Economic and Management Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9(3), pages 319-334, July.
    9. Mohsin, Muhammad & Ullah, Hafeez & Iqbal, Nadeem & Iqbal, Wasim & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2021. "How external debt led to economic growth in South Asia: A policy perspective analysis from quantile regression," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 423-437.
    10. Islam, Md. Rabiul & McGillivray, Mark, 2020. "Wealth inequality, governance and economic growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1-13.
    11. Hu, Ruiyang & Yang, Yibai & Zheng, Zhijie, 2021. "Inflation, endogenous quality increment, and economic growth," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 72-86.
    12. Cheng, Chih-Yang & Chien, Mei-Se & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2021. "ICT diffusion, financial development, and economic growth: An international cross-country analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 662-671.
    13. Peter C. B. Phillips & Bruce E. Hansen, 1990. "Statistical Inference in Instrumental Variables Regression with I(1) Processes," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 57(1), pages 99-125.
    14. Jorge Silva, 2020. "Impact of public and private sector external debt on economic growth: the case of Portugal," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 10(4), pages 607-634, December.
    15. Allam Mohammed Hamdan & Reem Khamis & Ammar Abdulla Al Hawaj & Elisabetta Barone, 2020. "The mediation role of public governance in the relationship between entrepreneurship and economic growth," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 16(3), pages 316-333, January.
    16. T. S. Breusch & A. R. Pagan, 1980. "The Lagrange Multiplier Test and its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 47(1), pages 239-253.
    17. Kim, Dong-Hyeon & Wu, Yi-Chen & Lin, Shu-Chin, 2018. "Heterogeneity in the effects of government size and governance on economic growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 205-216.
    18. Wang, Ruohan & Xue, Yi & Zheng, Wenping, 2021. "Does high external debt predict lower economic growth? Role of sovereign spreads and institutional quality," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    19. Brahim Gaies & Mahmoud‐Sami Nabi, 2021. "Banking crises and economic growth in developing countries: Why privileging foreign direct investment over external debt?," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(4), pages 736-761, October.
    20. Chien‐Chiang Lee & Chi‐Chuan Lee & Chih‐Yang Cheng, 2022. "The impact of FDI on income inequality: Evidence from the perspective of financial development," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 137-157, January.
    21. Dimitrios Asteriou & Keith Pilbeam & Cecilia Eny Pratiwi, 2021. "Public debt and economic growth: panel data evidence for Asian countries," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 45(2), pages 270-287, April.
    22. Maitra, Biswajit, 2019. "Macroeconomic impact of public debt and foreign aid in Sri Lanka," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 372-394.
    23. Muhammad Azam, 2022. "Governance and Economic Growth: Evidence from 14 Latin America and Caribbean Countries," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 13(2), pages 1470-1495, June.
    24. Rifaqat Ali & Usman Mustafa, 2012. "External Debt Accumulation and Its Impact on Economic Growth in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 79-96.
    25. Makun, Keshmeer, 2021. "External debt and economic growth in Pacific Island countries: A linear and nonlinear analysis of Fiji Islands," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
    26. Allam Mohammed Hamdan & Reem Khamis & Ammar Abdulla Al Hawaj & Elisabetta Barone, 2020. "The mediation role of public governance in the relationship between entrepreneurship and economic growth," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 16(3), pages 316-333, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kazi Musa & Kazi Sohag & Jamaliah Said & Farha Ghapar & Norli Ali, 2023. "Public Debt, Governance, and Growth in Developing Countries: An Application of Quantile via Moments," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-13, January.
    2. Woon Kan Yap & Fakarudin Kamarudin & Jenny Gryzelius, 2025. "External debt, state ownership and technical efficiency: A stochastic frontier analysis of emerging economies," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 24(1), pages 123-150, January.
    3. Olimpia Neagu, 2019. "The Link between Economic Complexity and Carbon Emissions in the European Union Countries: A Model Based on the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-27, August.
    4. Chowdhury, Mohammad Ashraful Ferdous & Prince, Ehsanur Rauf & Shoyeb, Mohammad & Abdullah, Mohammad, 2024. "The threshold effect of institutional quality on sovereign debt and economic stability," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 39-59.
    5. Umar Farooq & Mosab I Tabash & Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan & Cem Işık & Tarik Dogru, 2024. "The Nexus between tourism-energy-environmental degradation: Does financial development matter in GCC countries?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(3), pages 680-701, May.
    6. Boateng, Elliot & Agbola, Frank W. & Mahmood, Amir, 2021. "Foreign aid volatility and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does institutional quality matter?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 111-127.
    7. Vinay Kumar Singh & Salah Abosedra & Ali Fakih & Sajal Ghosh & Kakali Kanjilal, 2023. "Economic volatility and financial deepening in Sub-Saharan Africa: evidence from panel cointegration with cross-sectional heterogeneity and endogenous structural breaks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(5), pages 2013-2038, November.
    8. Gozgor, Giray & Mahalik, Mantu Kumar & Demir, Ender & Padhan, Hemachandra, 2020. "The impact of economic globalization on renewable energy in the OECD countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    9. Liu, Xuyi & Kong, Hao & Zhang, Shun, 2021. "Can urbanization, renewable energy, and economic growth make environment more eco-friendly in Northeast Asia?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 23-33.
    10. Walid Gani, 2024. "Does Competition Spur Innovation in North Africa? Evidence from a Panel ARDL Approach," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 16(2), pages 212-230, May.
    11. Dhahri, Sabrine & Omri, Anis & Mirza, Nawazish, 2024. "Information technology and financial development for achieving sustainable development goals," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    12. Wang, Zhaohua & Bui, Quocviet & Zhang, Bin, 2020. "The relationship between biomass energy consumption and human development: Empirical evidence from BRICS countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    13. Byaro, Mwoya & Pelizzo, Riccardo & Kinyondo, Abel, 2023. "What are the Main Drivers Behind the Acceleration of Tanzania's Economic Growth Over the Past Three Decades?," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 11(4), June.
    14. Marc Audi & Amjad Ali, 2023. "Public Policy and Economic Misery Nexus: A Comparative Analysis of Developed and Developing World," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(3), pages 56-73, May.
    15. Sofien Tiba & Musavir Ul Habib, 2024. "Examining the Causal Linkages Between Nuclear Energy, Environment, and Economic Growth: An Application from the SAARC Economies," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(2), pages 9699-9722, June.
    16. Hakan Öndes & Özlem Kızılgöl, 2024. "Financial Development and Income Inequality in Newly Industrialized Countries: Does Financial Kuznets Curve Exists?," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(4), pages 15618-15651, December.
    17. Shreya Pal & Indranil Bandyopadhyay, 2022. "Impact of financial inclusion on economic growth, financial development, financial efficiency, financial stability, and profitability: an international evidence," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(9), pages 1-29, September.
    18. Olumide Olusegun Olaoye & Mosab I. Tabash & Olatunde Julius Omokanmi & Rotimi Ayoade Ogunjumo & Matthew Oyeleke Ojelade & James A. Ishola, 2022. "Macroeconomic implications of escalating stock of public debt: Evidence from sub‐Saharan African economies," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 34(4), pages 527-540, December.
    19. Arjun & Bibhuti Ranjan Mishra, 2024. "External Debt and Economic Growth: Does the Role of Governance Matter in Emerging Countries?," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(2), pages 21582440241, May.
    20. Mohd Alsaleh & Azeem Oluwaseyi Zubair & Abdul Samad Abdul‐Rahim, 2020. "The impact of global competitiveness on the growth of bioenergy industry in EU‐28 region," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(5), pages 1304-1316, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Debt overhang theory; Economic growth; External debt; Governance; South Asia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O20 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:eurase:v:14:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1007_s40822-024-00264-0. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.