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Behavioral Economic Consequences of Disasters: A Basis for Inclusion in Benefit–Cost Analysis

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  • Adam Rose

    (Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Threats and Emergencies (CREATE), University of Southern California)

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to develop an analytical framework for estimating the behavioral effects of disasters and their economic consequences. The reduction of these losses represents the benefits of pre-disaster mitigation and post-disaster recovery. We provide conceptualizations, definitions, classifications, and a formal welfare analysis of this category of economic consequences. We also examine methods used to measure behavioral reactions to fear for insight into improving their delineation. Because we are interested in a comprehensive assessment of behavioral effects, we also include resilience adjustments and extend our initial partial equilibrium analysis to the general equilibrium level. The analysis is intended to serve as the basis for the legitimate inclusion of behavioral consequences of disasters in benefit-cost analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Adam Rose, 2022. "Behavioral Economic Consequences of Disasters: A Basis for Inclusion in Benefit–Cost Analysis," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 6(2), pages 213-233, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:ediscc:v:6:y:2022:i:2:d:10.1007_s41885-022-00107-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s41885-022-00107-9
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    16. J. A. Giesecke & W. J. Burns & A. Barrett & E. Bayrak & A. Rose & P. Slovic & M. Suher, 2012. "Assessment of the Regional Economic Impacts of Catastrophic Events: CGE Analysis of Resource Loss and Behavioral Effects of an RDD Attack Scenario," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(4), pages 583-600, April.
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    21. Shingo Nagamatsu & Adam Rose & Jonathan Eyer, 2020. "Return Migration and Decontamination After the 2011 Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant Disaster," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(4), pages 800-817, April.
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