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Response of rice production to elevated [CO 2 ] and its interaction with rising temperature or nitrogen supply: a meta-analysis

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  • Jinyang Wang
  • Cong Wang
  • Nannan Chen
  • Zhengqin Xiong
  • David Wolfe
  • Jianwen Zou

Abstract

We used meta-analysis to synthesize 125 studies assessing the responses of rice production to elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration ([CO 2 ]), and the interaction of elevated [CO 2 ] with rising temperature or N supply. Elevated [CO 2 ] significantly enhanced rice yield by 20 %, despite no significant increase in grain size and harvest index at elevated [CO 2 ]. Belowground biomass increased at elevated [CO 2 ] to a larger extent than aboveground biomass. Among the Japonica, Indica and Hybrid rice cultivars, Hybrid cultivars generally showed the greatest growth response to elevated [CO 2 ]. The maximum enhancement of rice yield was observed at 600–699 ppm [CO 2 ] with less benefit in studies with lower or higher elevated [CO 2 ] levels. Rice yield responses to elevated [CO 2 ] were smaller in FACE compared with the other fumigation methods, largely associated with lower photosynthesis. Increases in rice yield at elevated [CO 2 ] were constrained by limited N supply. The detrimental effect of rising temperature on spikelet fertility and harvest index were not be fully counteracted by elevated [CO 2 ] effects. Together, the results of this meta-analysis suggest that rising [CO 2 ] and warming accompanied by low N supply are unlikely to stimulate rice production, especially with the current trajectory of emissions scenarios. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Jinyang Wang & Cong Wang & Nannan Chen & Zhengqin Xiong & David Wolfe & Jianwen Zou, 2015. "Response of rice production to elevated [CO 2 ] and its interaction with rising temperature or nitrogen supply: a meta-analysis," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 130(4), pages 529-543, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:130:y:2015:i:4:p:529-543
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1374-6
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    1. Detlef Vuuren & Jae Edmonds & Mikiko Kainuma & Keywan Riahi & Allison Thomson & Kathy Hibbard & George Hurtt & Tom Kram & Volker Krey & Jean-Francois Lamarque & Toshihiko Masui & Malte Meinshausen & N, 2011. "The representative concentration pathways: an overview," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(1), pages 5-31, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Leonard Bonilha Piveta & Nilda Roma-Burgos & José Alberto Noldin & Vívian Ebeling Viana & Claudia de Oliveira & Fabiane Pinto Lamego & Luis Antonio de Avila, 2020. "Molecular and Physiological Responses of Rice and Weedy Rice to Heat and Drought Stress," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-21, December.
    2. Houma, Abdusslam A. & Kamal, Md Rowshon & Mojid, Md Abdul & Abdullah, Ahmad Fikri B. & Wayayok, A., 2021. "Climate change impacts on rice yield of a large-scale irrigation scheme in Malaysia," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    3. Amanda J Ashworth & Heather D Toler & Fred L Allen & Robert M Augé, 2018. "Global meta-analysis reveals agro-grassland productivity varies based on species diversity over time," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(7), pages 1-19, July.
    4. Hengli Wang & Hong Liu & Danyang Wang, 2022. "Agricultural Insurance, Climate Change, and Food Security: Evidence from Chinese Farmers," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-17, August.
    5. Fei, Li & Meijun, Zhou & Jiaqi, Shao & Zehui, Chen & Xiaoli, Wei & Jiuchun, Yang, 2020. "Maize, wheat and rice production potential changes in China under the background of climate change," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).

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