IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/apjors/v8y2024i2d10.1007_s41685-024-00338-6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatiotemporal assessment of vulnerability of the agriculture sector to climate change in Madhya Pradesh, India

Author

Listed:
  • Alinda George

    (Indian Institute of Technology Indore)

  • Pritee Sharma

    (Indian Institute of Technology Indore)

Abstract

Madhya Pradesh, the central state of India, has a larger share of the population depending on the agricultural sector, mainly belonging to tribal groups and are largely marginal and small landholders. Though the sector performed a double-digit growth rate in recent years, this is skewed towards very few districts, whereas others remain neglected. These increasing disparities may lead to increased vulnerability to climate change in the backward districts of this sector. This study assessed the spatial and temporal vulnerability of the sector to climate change with the agricultural vulnerability index prepared using the IPCC approach at the district level for 5 decades (1970s–2010s). Hotspots of agricultural vulnerability where targeted policy interventions are required were located. Through spatial autocorrelation techniques, we identified whether the clustering of agricultural vulnerability exists and detected changes over the decades. This study has wide applications for the agricultural sector in Madhya Pradesh and other Indian states, which possess similar agricultural characteristics.

Suggested Citation

  • Alinda George & Pritee Sharma, 2024. "Spatiotemporal assessment of vulnerability of the agriculture sector to climate change in Madhya Pradesh, India," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 8(2), pages 615-649, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:apjors:v:8:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1007_s41685-024-00338-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s41685-024-00338-6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s41685-024-00338-6
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s41685-024-00338-6?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. David B. Lobell & Adam Sibley & J. Ivan Ortiz-Monasterio, 2012. "Extreme heat effects on wheat senescence in India," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(3), pages 186-189, March.
    2. Steven Passel & Emanuele Massetti & Robert Mendelsohn, 2017. "A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on European Agriculture," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 67(4), pages 725-760, August.
    3. Hiremath, Deepa B. & Shiyani, R.L., 2013. "Research Note: Analysis of Vulnerability Indices in Various Agro-Climatic Zones of Gujarat," Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Indian Society of Agricultural Economics, vol. 68(01), pages 1-16.
    4. R. Varadan & Pramod Kumar, 2015. "Mapping agricultural vulnerability of Tamil Nadu, India to climate change: a dynamic approach to take forward the vulnerability assessment methodology," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 129(1), pages 159-181, March.
    5. M. K. Roxy & Subimal Ghosh & Amey Pathak & R. Athulya & Milind Mujumdar & Raghu Murtugudde & Pascal Terray & M. Rajeevan, 2017. "A threefold rise in widespread extreme rain events over central India," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 8(1), pages 1-11, December.
    6. Chand, Ramesh & Srivastava, S.K., 2016. "Disadvantaged Agricultural Regions: Is there a Way Forward?," Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Indian Society of Agricultural Economics, vol. 71(01), March.
    7. Muhammad Ziaul Hoque & Shenghui Cui & Lilai Xu & Imranul Islam & Jianxiong Tang & Shengping Ding, 2019. "Assessing Agricultural Livelihood Vulnerability to Climate Change in Coastal Bangladesh," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-21, November.
    8. Junaid Khan & Apurba Shil & Ravi Prakash, 2018. "Exploring the spatial heterogeneity in different doses of vaccination coverage in India," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(11), pages 1-20, November.
    9. Tiodora Siagian & Purhadi Purhadi & Suhartono Suhartono & Hamonangan Ritonga, 2014. "Social vulnerability to natural hazards in Indonesia: driving factors and policy implications," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 70(2), pages 1603-1617, January.
    10. Alinda George & Pritee Sharma, 2023. "Spatial assessment of vulnerability of social groups to climate change in Madhya Pradesh, India," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 7(4), pages 1329-1370, December.
    11. A. J. Challinor & J. Watson & D. B. Lobell & S. M. Howden & D. R. Smith & N. Chhetri, 2014. "A meta-analysis of crop yield under climate change and adaptation," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(4), pages 287-291, April.
    12. Bishwa Bhaskar Choudhary & Smita Sirohi, 2022. "Understanding vulnerability of agricultural production system to climatic stressors in North Indian Plains: a meso-analysis," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(12), pages 13522-13541, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Goutam Elangbam & Abujam Manglem Singh, 2025. "How vulnerable are India’s North-Eastern hills to climate change? Understanding environmental and socio-economic drivers of climate vulnerability in the state of Manipur," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 265-295, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Terese E. Venus & Stephanie Bilgram & Johannes Sauer & Arun Khatri-Chettri, 2022. "Livelihood vulnerability and climate change: a comparative analysis of smallholders in the Indo-Gangetic plains," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 1981-2009, February.
    2. Ollier, Maxime & Jayet, Pierre-Alain & Humblot, Pierre, 2024. "An assessment of the distributional impacts of autonomous adaptation to climate change from European agriculture," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    3. Anwar, Muhuddin Rajin & Liu, De Li & Farquharson, Robert & Macadam, Ian & Abadi, Amir & Finlayson, John & Wang, Bin & Ramilan, Thiagarajah, 2015. "Climate change impacts on phenology and yields of five broadacre crops at four climatologically distinct locations in Australia," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 133-144.
    4. Birthal, Pratap S. & Hazrana, Jaweriah & Negi, Digvijay S. & Pandey, Ghanshyam, 2021. "Benefits of irrigation against heat stress in agriculture: Evidence from wheat crop in India," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    5. Tianyi Zhang & Yong He & Ron DePauw & Zhenong Jin & David Garvin & Xu Yue & Weston Anderson & Tao Li & Xin Dong & Tao Zhang & Xiaoguang Yang, 2022. "Climate change may outpace current wheat breeding yield improvements in North America," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    6. Alinda George & Pritee Sharma, 2023. "Spatial assessment of vulnerability of social groups to climate change in Madhya Pradesh, India," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 7(4), pages 1329-1370, December.
    7. Komarek, Adam M. & Thierfelder, Christian & Steward, Peter R., 2021. "Conservation agriculture improves adaptive capacity of cropping systems to climate stress in Malawi," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    8. Guiomar Carranza-Gallego & Gloria I. Guzmán & Roberto Garcia-Ruíz & Manuel González de Molina & Eduardo Aguilera, 2019. "Addressing the Role of Landraces in the Sustainability of Mediterranean Agroecosystems," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-16, October.
    9. A. N. Hristov & A. T. Degaetano & C. A. Rotz & E. Hoberg & R. H. Skinner & T. Felix & H. Li & P. H. Patterson & G. Roth & M. Hall & T. L. Ott & L. H. Baumgard & W. Staniar & R. M. Hulet & C. J. Dell &, 2018. "Climate change effects on livestock in the Northeast US and strategies for adaptation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 146(1), pages 33-45, January.
    10. Namra Ghaffar & Bushra Noreen & Maryam Muhammad Ali & Amna Ali, 2021. "Rice Yield Estimation in Sawat Region Incorporating The Local Physio-Climatic Parameters," International Journal of Agriculture & Sustainable Development, 50sea, vol. 3(2), pages 46-50, June.
    11. Charlotte Fabri & Sam Vermeulen & Steven Van Passel & Sergei Schaub, 2024. "Crop diversification and the effect of weather shocks on Italian farmers' income and income risk," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(3), pages 955-980, September.
    12. Philip Antwi-Agyei & Andrew J. Dougill & Lindsay C. Stringer, 2017. "Assessing Coherence between Sector Policies and Climate Compatible Development: Opportunities for Triple Wins," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-16, November.
    13. Jeetendra Prakash Aryal & Cathy R. Farnworth & Ritika Khurana & Srabashi Ray & Tek B. Sapkota & Dil Bahadur Rahut, 2020. "Does women’s participation in agricultural technology adoption decisions affect the adoption of climate‐smart agriculture? Insights from Indo‐Gangetic Plains of India," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(3), pages 973-990, August.
    14. F. Castro-Llanos & G. Hyman & J. Rubiano & J. Ramirez-Villegas & H. Achicanoy, 2019. "Climate change favors rice production at higher elevations in Colombia," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 24(8), pages 1401-1430, December.
    15. Gong, Ziqian & Baker, Justin S. & Wade, Christopher M. & Havlík, Petr, 2024. "Irrigation intensification in U.S. agriculture under climate change – an adaptation mechanism or trade-induced response?," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343581, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    16. Thamo, Tas & Addai, Donkor & Kragt, Marit E. & Kingwell, Ross S. & Pannell, David J. & Robertson, Michael J., 2019. "Climate change reduces the mitigation obtainable from sequestration in an Australian farming system," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 63(4), October.
    17. De Li Liu & Garry J. O’Leary & Brendan Christy & Ian Macadam & Bin Wang & Muhuddin R. Anwar & Anna Weeks, 2017. "Effects of different climate downscaling methods on the assessment of climate change impacts on wheat cropping systems," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 144(4), pages 687-701, October.
    18. Nicole Costa Resende Ferreira & Jarbas Honorio Miranda, 2021. "Projected changes in corn crop productivity and profitability in Parana, Brazil," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 3236-3250, March.
    19. Dániel Fróna & János Szenderák & Mónika Harangi-Rákos, 2019. "The Challenge of Feeding the World," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-18, October.
    20. Farnaz Pourzand & Kendom Bell, 2021. "How climate affects agricultural land values in Aotearoa New Zealand," Working Papers 21_16, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agricultural vulnerability; Climate change; Madhya Pradesh; Districts; Spatiotemporal assessment; Spatial autocorrelation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q15 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Land Ownership and Tenure; Land Reform; Land Use; Irrigation; Agriculture and Environment
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:apjors:v:8:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1007_s41685-024-00338-6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.