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Differing house price linkages across UK regions: A multi-dimensional recursive ripple model

Author

Listed:
  • Chris Hudson

    (The Graduate Institute Geneva, Switzerland)

  • John Hudson

    (University of Bath, UK)

  • Bruce Morley

    (University of Bath, UK)

Abstract

The aim of this study is to determine the nature of the relationship between house prices of different types of housing across the UK regions. We use an Autoregressive Distributed Lag bounds testing approach to determine the long-run relationships between house prices as well as an error correction model to estimate the short-run dynamics between house prices. The data include house prices across the regions of Great Britain and for new, old and modern houses. The results suggest that house price shocks ripple across regions, although the nature of the relationship varies across housing types. We further simulate the impact of house price shocks and reveal a complex structure whereby a house price shock in region A impacts upon prices in other regions, which in turn feedback into region A in a recursive ripple.

Suggested Citation

  • Chris Hudson & John Hudson & Bruce Morley, 2018. "Differing house price linkages across UK regions: A multi-dimensional recursive ripple model," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 55(8), pages 1636-1654, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:55:y:2018:i:8:p:1636-1654
    DOI: 10.1177/0042098017700804
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Bruce Morley & Dennis Thomas, 2018. "Covariance Risk and the Ripple Effect in the UK Regional Housing Market," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 13, pages 1-13, August.
    3. James E. Payne & Xiaojin Sun, 2023. "Time‐varying connectedness of metropolitan housing markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 51(2), pages 470-502, March.
    4. Robert Webb & Duncan Watson & Steven Cook, 2021. "Price adjustment in the London housing market," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 58(1), pages 113-130, January.
    5. Panayiotis Tzeremes, 2022. "The Asymmetric Effects of Regional House Prices in the UK: New Evidence from Panel Quantile Regression Framework," Studies in Microeconomics, , vol. 10(1), pages 7-22, June.
    6. Guancen Wu & Jing Li & Dan Chong & Xing Niu, 2021. "Analysis on the Housing Price Relationship Network of Large and Medium-Sized Cities in China Based on Gravity Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-20, April.
    7. Jin Hu & Xuelei Xiong & Yuanyuan Cai & Feng Yuan, 2020. "The Ripple Effect and Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Intra-Urban Housing Prices at the Submarket Level in Shanghai, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-17, June.
    8. P. S. Morawakage & G. Earl & B. Liu & E. Roca & A. Omura, 2023. "Housing Risk and Returns in Submarkets with Spatial Dependence and Heterogeneity," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 695-734, November.

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