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The importance of real and nominal shocks on the UK housing market

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  • Narayan, Paresh Kumar
  • Narayan, Seema

Abstract

The goal of this paper is to examine the responsiveness of the UK housing market to real and nominal shocks. To achieve this goal, we use a structural VAR model based on quarterly data for the period 1957:1¡V2009:4. We find that, in response to an interest rate shock, aggregate and modern house prices fall sharply over the first 4 years and do not recover to their pre-shock level. In response to a real GDP shock, both house prices react in a positive inverted U-shaped manner. Finally, we find that an inflation shock has a U-shaped negative impact on aggregate and modern house prices in the UK.
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Suggested Citation

  • Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema, 2011. "The importance of real and nominal shocks on the UK housing market," Working Papers fe_2011_05, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:dkn:ecomet:fe_2011_05
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    Cited by:

    1. Chris Hudson & John Hudson & Bruce Morley, 2018. "Differing house price linkages across UK regions: A multi-dimensional recursive ripple model," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 55(8), pages 1636-1654, June.

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    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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