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The Determinants of Temporary Rural-to-Urban Migration in China

Author

Listed:
  • Haizheng Li

    (School of Economics, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332-0615, USA, Haizheng.li@econ.gatech.edu)

  • Steven Zahniser

    (Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, 1800 MStreetNW, RmN5134, Washington, DC20036-5831, USA, zahniser@ers.usda.gov)

Abstract

This paper evaluates the impact of various explanatory factors on temporary rural-to-urban migration in China using a series of probit models of the migration decision. The empirical basis of this work is a sample of 11 924 individuals, age 16-35 years, drawn from the 1995 data of the Chinese Household Income Project (CHIP). We find that the profiles for migration-age and migration-education are both quadratic, with the least-educated and most-educated members of rural society being less likely to migrate. In addition, the marginal effect of education tends to be higher for men than for women. An increase in farming income reduces the probability of migration, while the amount of land controlled by a household does not have a significant effect on migration in most provinces.

Suggested Citation

  • Haizheng Li & Steven Zahniser, 2002. "The Determinants of Temporary Rural-to-Urban Migration in China," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 39(12), pages 2219-2235, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:39:y:2002:i:12:p:2219-2235
    DOI: 10.1080/0042098022000033836
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    References listed on IDEAS

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