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Exchange Rate, Uncertainty and Foreign Direct Investment Inflow in West African Monetary Zone

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  • Perekunah B. Eregha

Abstract

Exchange-rate movements are mostly unpredictable, and this tends to affect both trade and foreign investment flows. This is because foreign investors are unclear on the returns to investment decisions in such cases. Hence, this study examines the effect of exchange rate, its volatility and uncertainty on foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow in West African monetary zone (WAMZ). The study covers the period1980–2014, and the within estimator for the fixed effect model is employed. The study accounts for both exchange rate volatility and uncertainty measures which are anticipated and unanticipated exchange rate innovations measures, respectively. The results show that exchange-rate movements in WAMZ countries are more of unanticipated than anticipated innovations in affecting FDI inflow. Therefore, policies aimed at targeting exchange-rate stability are essential in the WAMZ countries since investors are profit maximizers; hence, investment uncertainties must be kept as low as possible. Also since WAMZ export sectors are primary products based, policies should be geared towards the diversification of the export sectors to combat unanticipated global shocks from commodity prices movement in having an effect on the exchange rate through the foreign exchange reserve channel.

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  • Perekunah B. Eregha, 2019. "Exchange Rate, Uncertainty and Foreign Direct Investment Inflow in West African Monetary Zone," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 20(1), pages 1-12, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:globus:v:20:y:2019:i:1:p:1-12
    DOI: 10.1177/0972150918803835
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    2. Magdalene Williams & Ahmad Abu Alrub & Mehmet Aga, 2022. "Ecological Footprint, Economic Uncertainty and Foreign Direct Investment in South Africa: Evidence From Asymmetric Cointegration and Dynamic Multipliers in a Nonlinear ARDL Approach," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, April.
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    4. Olatunji Abdul Shobande, 2019. "Effect of Economic Integration on Agricultural Export Performance in Selected West African Countries," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-14, August.
    5. Oliver E. Ogbonna & Jonathan E. Ogbuabor & Charles O. Manasseh & Davidmac O. Ekeocha, 2022. "Global uncertainty, economic governance institutions and foreign direct investment inflow in Africa," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 2111-2136, November.
    6. Olatunji Abdul Shobande & Oladimeji Tomiwa Shodipe, 2019. "Remittances and Real Exchange Rate: Latest Evidence from Cochrane Orcutt Econometric Model," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 5(2), pages 166-172, June.
    7. S. Veeramani & Abha Shukla & Mariam Jamaleh, 2020. "Financial theories of foreign direct investment: a review of literature," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 47(2), pages 185-217, June.
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