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Market Integration and Wind Generation: An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Wind Generation on Cross-border Power Prices

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  • Sebastien Annan-Phan
  • Fabien A. Roques

Abstract

European power markets have become more integrated and renewables have a significant effect on power prices and cross-border exchanges. This paper investigates empirically how the effects of renewables are affected by market expansion across two adjacent countries (France and Germany), based on market data and proprietary data on book orders. We find that wind production lowers power prices on average and increases volatility, not only domestically but also across borders. Using multiple counterfactuals, we examine how our results depend on the level of interconnection and find that further interconnection capacity would decrease price volatility in both countries since the benefits of a larger market would outweigh the contagion effects of volatility. Our findings have important policy implications as they demonstrate the need to coordinate support policies for renewables and policies to support transmission capacity expansion in order to mitigate the impact of volatility on power prices in neighboring power markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Sebastien Annan-Phan & Fabien A. Roques, 2018. "Market Integration and Wind Generation: An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Wind Generation on Cross-border Power Prices," The Energy Journal, , vol. 39(3), pages 1-24, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:enejou:v:39:y:2018:i:3:p:1-24
    DOI: 10.5547/01956574.39.3.spha
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Würzburg, Klaas & Labandeira, Xavier & Linares, Pedro, 2013. "Renewable generation and electricity prices: Taking stock and new evidence for Germany and Austria," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(S1), pages 159-171.
    2. Richard Green & Nicholas Vasilakos, 2011. "The Long-term Impact of Wind Power on Electricity Prices and Generating Capacity," Working Paper series, University of East Anglia, Centre for Competition Policy (CCP) 2011-04, Centre for Competition Policy, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
    3. Gelabert, Liliana & Labandeira, Xavier & Linares, Pedro, 2011. "An ex-post analysis of the effect of renewables and cogeneration on Spanish electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(S1), pages 59-65.
    4. Rintamäki, Tuomas & Siddiqui, Afzal S. & Salo, Ahti, 2017. "Does renewable energy generation decrease the volatility of electricity prices? An analysis of Denmark and Germany," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 270-282.
    5. Spiecker, Stephan & Vogel, Philip & Weber, Christoph, 2013. "Evaluating interconnector investments in the north European electricity system considering fluctuating wind power penetration," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 114-127.
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