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Is the Depressive Effect of Renewables on Power Prices Contagious? A Cross Border Econometric Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Sébastien Phan

    (Energy Policy Institute at Chicago (EPIC) and 'Chaire European Electricity Markets' (CEEM))

  • Fabien Roques

    (CGEMP Université Paris Dauphine, 'Chaire European Electricity markets' (CEEM) of Paris Dauphine University.)

Abstract

European power markets have become more integrated and the implementation of market coupling has reinforced the efficiency of cross-border trading. This paper investigates empirically the impact of renewables growth in Germany on German and French power price volatility. We find that renewables depress power prices on average and increase volatility not only domestically but also across borders. We also leverage market resiliency data to investigate the impact of increases in interconnection capacity. We find that power price volatility would decrease in France despite some contagion effects of volatility from German renewables production. Our findings have important policy implications as they demonstrate the need to coordinate cross-border support policies for renewables in order to mitigate the impact of volatility on power prices in coupled power markets.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Sébastien Phan & Fabien Roques, 2015. "Is the Depressive Effect of Renewables on Power Prices Contagious? A Cross Border Econometric Analysis," Working Papers EPRG 1517, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
    • Handle: RePEc:enp:wpaper:eprg1517
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    Cited by:

    1. Figueiredo, Nuno Carvalho & Silva, Patrícia Pereira da & Bunn, Derek, 2016. "Weather and market specificities in the regional transmission of renewable energy price effects," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 188-200.
    2. Danielle Devogelaer & Benoît Laine, 2016. "Working Paper 09-16 - Drivers of wholesale electricity prices in a small, open economy - Some evidence from the nuclear restart in Belgium [Working Paper 09-16 - Marché de l’électricité : facteurs ," Working Papers 1609, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium.
    3. Klaus Gugler & Adhurim Haxhimusa, 2016. "Cross-Border Technology Differences and Trade Barriers: Evidence from German and French Electricity Markets," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp237, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
    4. Saez, Yago & Mochon, Asuncion & Corona, Luis & Isasi, Pedro, 2019. "Integration in the European electricity market: A machine learning-based convergence analysis for the Central Western Europe region," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 549-566.
    5. Abrell, Jan & Kosch, Mirjam, 2022. "Cross-country spillovers of renewable energy promotion—The case of Germany," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    6. Melliger, Marc & Chappin, Emile, 2022. "Phasing out support schemes for renewables in neighbouring countries: An agent-based model with investment preferences," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    7. Keles, Dogan & Dehler-Holland, Joris & Densing, Martin & Panos, Evangelos & Hack, Felix, 2020. "Cross-border effects in interconnected electricity markets - an analysis of the Swiss electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    8. Haxhimusa, Adhurim, 2018. "The Effects of German Wind and Solar Electricity on French Spot Price Volatility: An Empirical Investigation," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 258, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    9. Jay W. Zarnikau & Chi-Keung Woo & Kang Hua Cao & Han Steffan Qi, 2025. "Price Impacts of Energy Transition on the Interconnected Wholesale Electricity Markets in the Northeast United States," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(15), pages 1-18, July.
    10. Romano, E. & Mutschler, R. & Hollmuller, P. & Sulzer, M. & Orehounig, K. & Rüdisüli, M., 2024. "Spatial carbon and price spillovers among EU countries on their pathway toward net-zero electricity supply," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    11. Fianu, Emmanuel Senyo & Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix & Grossi, Luigi, 2022. "Modeling risk contagion in the Italian zonal electricity market," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 298(2), pages 656-679.
    12. Percebois, Jacques & Pommeret, Stanislas, 2019. "Storage cost induced by a large substitution of nuclear by intermittent renewable energies: The French case," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    13. George P. Papaioannou & Christos Dikaiakos & Christos Kaskouras & George Evangelidis & Fotios Georgakis, 2020. "Granger Causality Network Methods for Analyzing Cross-Border Electricity Trading between Greece, Italy, and Bulgaria," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-26, February.
    14. Rinne, Sonja, 2018. "Radioinactive: Are nuclear power plant outages in France contagious to the German electricity price?," CIW Discussion Papers 3/2018, University of Münster, Center for Interdisciplinary Economics (CIW).
    15. Jha, Amit Prakash & Mahajan, Aarushi & Singh, Sanjay Kumar & Kumar, Piyush, 2022. "Renewable energy proliferation for sustainable development: Role of cross-border electricity trade," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(P1), pages 1189-1199.
    16. Gugler, Klaus & Haxhimusa, Adhurim, 2016. "Cross-Border Technology Differences and Trade Barriers: Evidence from German and French Electricity Markets," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 237, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    17. Jacques Percebois & Stanislas Pommeret, 2021. "What can be learned from the French partial nuclear shutdown of 2016?," ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2021(1), pages 5-19.

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    JEL classification:

    • L1 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance
    • L5 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy
    • L94 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Electric Utilities

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