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El impacto del Bono Juancito Pinto. Un análisis a partir de microsimulaciones

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  • Yáñez, Ernesto

    (Independiente)

Abstract

El trabajo presenta una evaluación ex ante del Bono Juancito Pinto a partir del uso de técnicas de microsimulación. Específicamente, evalúa el impacto sobre la asistencia escolar, la pobreza y la desigualdad en la distribución del ingreso. Los resultados sugieren que el BJP ha tenido un impacto positivo en la reducción de la inasistencia escolar en el ciclo primario, ha colaborado en la reducción de los niveles de indigencia además de haber mejorado la distribución del ingreso -sobre todo en el sector rural del país. Posibles mejoras del BJP estarían vinculadas a diferenciar el monto transferido en función de la zona de residencia, lo que traería beneficios adicionales sin modificar significativamente los costos administrativos del programa.

Suggested Citation

  • Yáñez, Ernesto, 2012. "El impacto del Bono Juancito Pinto. Un análisis a partir de microsimulaciones," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB) "San Pablo", issue 17, pages 75-112, Mayo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:revlde:1703
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kenneth I. Wolpin & Petra E. Todd, 2006. "Assessing the Impact of a School Subsidy Program in Mexico: Using a Social Experiment to Validate a Dynamic Behavioral Model of Child Schooling and Fertility," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 96(5), pages 1384-1417, December.
    2. Fabian Bornhorst, 2009. "How Good Are Ex Ante Program Evaluation Techniques? The Case of School Enrollment in PROGRESA," IMF Working Papers 2009/187, International Monetary Fund.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Evaluación ex ante; microsimulación; transferencias condicionadas; educación; Bono Juancito Pinto; Bolivia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
    • O12 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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